Another Pivotal Hand from NLHE tourney.?

Question

Final table in 90 player turbo SNG. Five Handed. Blinds at 750/1500 with 150 ante.

My image: 110k in chips, double the next stack. Super tight until bubble with only premium hands shown. Since bubble, a bit more aggressive. Showdowns with big stacks have been premium hands, but have knocked out several smaller stacks while I held mediocre cards (iffy draws that hit, middle pair, etc.) Big time bully on final table.

Opponent: 55k in chips. Played solid, conservative style, but seems a bit tilty after losing half his stack to a suckout. He's been seeing and betting the flop almost constantly to rebuild his stack. I've been avoiding him since the bubble as we've been running 1-2 since 20 players left.

Me in BB, opponent in SB. I get AhQh. Folders until opponent calls big blind. I raise 3x to 4500 and get a call. Flop comes AdTc4s. Opponent checks. I raise 9k, making the pot 18750. Oppenent re-raises all-in. What's the play?

Answer 1

Call him, sounds like he could have ace anything or tens, what makes the call worth it is that you will still have 55 g. I bet he has k or q ten, update please.

Answer 2

You have to put your opponent on a range here based on what you've seen him do in the past. You also need to factor in the stack sizes of the players at the table. Will losing the pot make you a significant short stack?

Also keep in mind that the chips you lose are more valuable than the chips you win. Meaning, the tournament equity your stack gives you should be a major factor in deciding how you play. You don't have to gamble with your big stack on marginal hands, you can afford to wait and move up the pay scale. That being said the big stack gives you the opportunity to abuse the final table pay bubbles, but that doesn't mean you call down a short stack who shows aggression hoping you can knock them out with a marginal hand. You use it to steal the blinds and bully passive players who are only interested in folding up the pay ladder.

Back to your question though; I don't have enough information to know whether folding or calling here is the correct move. One could argue favourably for both.

Answer 3

call-call-check-raise all-in usually means trips. my guess would be 4's, since he didn't raise preflop.

however, since he's desperate, he might have purposely done this to induce a fold. a check raise is the highest percentage play to induce a fold.

I'd say it's a 50/50 tossup that either he's bluffing or he has trips. from your read, however, i would lean towards bluffing, and then it becomes a straightforward pot-odds problem.