Any value plays out there for the Belmont Stakes? Reasoning?

Question

FOR EXAMPLE . . . Anak Nakal - trained by Nick Zito, who also trained the 2004 Belmont underdog, Birdstone. Birdstone posted an 85 Beyer figure in the 04 Derby, finishing eighth. Zito kept him out of the Preakness, gave him some rest, and he went on to put up an impressive Beyer of 101 at Belmont in June. Anaks Nakal's Beyers look similar to Birdstone's not to mention his father, the great Belmont winner, Victory Gallop. . . I dunno, everyone seems to be writing this horse off, but he was bred for distance, and Zito has made some smart moves with this horse. Let me know what ya think of my strategy, and give me some of your own. I wanna good trifecta, or a nicely valued show horse, but everyone and their brother is gonna bet on Big Brown, Casino Drive, and Denis of Cork, respectively. No one makes serious money on the chalks. Thanks in advance racing fans!

Answer 1

The only thing I can think of is an exacta with Big Brown over Tale of Ekati. I think if Casino Drive gets in a duel with Big Brown, Big Brown will burn him right out. Tale of Ekati should be nice and rested since the Derby, hopefully he'll pick up the pieces for second place. I'm also going with a 1,7, all trifecta.

Answer 2

B.B. ON TOP WITH THE BOTTOM HORSE SECOND AND NUMBER 8 FOR THIRD/ TRIFECTA FOR 1.00 WILL PAY OVER 100.00.

Answer 3

I like your reasoning for Anak Nakal.  I wrote him off because the longest distance he won at is 8.5 furlongs but I checked and Birdstone's longest win was 8.5 furlongs before the Belmont too.  Don't forget Anak Nakal has won at Belmont Park and so had Birdstone.

I'll probably play Tale of Ekati too.  Same reasoning as Anak Nakal, he has good breeding, he's rested, he's won at Belmont and his trainer.  I'm using Icabad Crane in exotics because he's never finished worse than third, he has a good jockey and he has good breeding for the race.  I'm playing Icabad to show too.    

I'm playing one trifecta box without Big Brown or Casino Drive just in case.  One or the other will most likely win, but if something goes wrong and they end up in back...