Anyone here of apophis the astroid that has a 1 in 45,000 chance of hitting earth now is 1 in 450 year 2029?

Question

Nasa admits they messed up on there calculations as a 13 year old herman student corrected nasa's estimates by using a telescopic finding from the institiute of astrophysics in potsdam (AIP)

nasa said 1 in 45,000 chance. Now there saying 1 in 450 chance. Also if the astroid makes it close enough to the earths gravitational pull it would set everything up for a for sure impact on april 2036 on its next orbit.

The goverment does not want people to know this and its realy strange to me it took a 13 year old student to correct nasa

I have a feeling nasa already knew but put out false information so the public would not panic.

Goes to show you they dont tell the public everything. So that being said what else are they not telling us.

Do we need to start making underground shelters so we can survive.

What options do we have to blow this thing up?

Answer 1

The most interesting question I find here is this: Why are you so eager to discount the predictions of PhD astrophysicists around the world to believe the calculations of a 13 year old kid in his science fair project, without checking further into it?  Are you just that anti-science, or do you just really want the excitement of a conspiracy and impact?

Maybe you would do well to examine your own motivations, and discover how they might be clouding your view of the world.

Answer 2

it's on youtube.com my kid are young so i hope that we have a way to stop this from happening or a way to divert it enough to miss us all together but for now pray a lot and give the people at nasa suggestions on how to divert this thing away from us

Answer 3

Don't be silly, Mike. We all know the world will end on 12 / 23 / 12

Answer 4

okay stop reading  x-Files  

Answer 5

Check out this link:

http://www.universetoday.com/2008/04/16/...

and

http://space.newscientist.com/article/dn...

http://www.skyandtelescope.com/news/1784...

It is commendable that a 13 year old even attempted such a study, that he got it wrong is a shame...

Answer 6

I have not heard of any change in the situation of Apophis. The calculations require far more than one or even a few new observations. For really accurate predictions, past measurements of the asteroid are needed, so we have a record many years long of where it has been. It was a search of old records that turned up old, perviously unrecognised observations of the asteroid that ruled out any likely collision.

Wikipedia describes this well. Some people don't like wikipedia, but I find it at least as reliable as any other online resource.

Answer 7

An underground shelter would hardly save anyone. A 6 mile wide meteror caused 1000 years of dust clouds to smother the earth and kill off millions of species. (Referring to dinosaurs) Do you have enough food to last you 1000 years? We need the sunlight. If a meteror hits earth, being 10 mile +, we are all doomed anyways. Therefore, enjoy life while you can :)  Ps. Meteror is spelt wrong, I just don't know the correct spelling. Looks right to me.

Answer 8

NEWS RELEASE: 2008-063 April 16, 2008

NASA Statement on Student Asteroid Calculations

PASADENA, Calif. — The Near-Earth Object Program Office at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif., has not changed its current estimates for the very low probability (1 in 45,000) of an Earth impact by the asteroid Apophis in 2036. Contrary to recent press reports, NASA offices involved in near-Earth object research were not contacted and have had no correspondence with a young German student, who claims the Apophis impact probability is far higher than the current estimate.

This student’s conclusion reportedly is based on the possibility of a collision with an artificial satellite during the asteroid’s close approach in April 2029. However, the asteroid will not pass near the main belt of geosynchronous satellites in 2029, and the chance of a collision with a satellite is exceedingly remote. Therefore, consideration of this satellite collision scenario does not affect the current impact probability estimate for Apophis, which remains at 1 in 45,000.

NASA detects and tracks asteroids and comets passing close to Earth. The Near Earth Object Observation Program, commonly called “Spaceguard,” discovers, characterizes and computes trajectories for these objects to determine if any could be potentially hazardous to our planet.

Answer 9

This "German student" story was debunked a few months ago. His calculation claimed that NASA had overlooked the possibility of a collision with a geostationary satellite in 2029 altering the path of the asteroid to increase the risk of impact with Earth in 2036 by a hundredfold. It turns out that although the asteroid will come closer than geostationary satellite distance in 2029, this close approach will occur well away from the geostationary (equatorial) plane, so there is a negligible chance of a collision with a satellite. Even if there was a collision, a 20 million ton lump of rock isn't going to deviate much from its path when striking a satellite of a few tons mass. So "13 year-old proves NASA wrong" was a good tabloid headline at the time, but a long way wide of the mark. The NASA statement is here: http://www.nasa.gov/home/hqnews/2008/apr...

Answer 10

They're making inventions to stop asteroids.  But it depends on the asteroid.  If it's small, then it probably will burn up in the atmosphere.  People can always use the underground bunkers built during the Cold War.  But if somehow, the asteroid made the ozone layer disappear, we would have to live underground.