Can Hillary still win? Give me a scenario:?

Question

Here are the current numbers:

Obama: 1490 delegates / 249 Superdelegates

Clinton: 1334 delegates / 272 Superdelegates

Clinton has lost at least 12 superdelegates to Obama since February.

Clinton has only narrowed Obama's lead by 7 delegates since her win in Texas

Only 408 delegates are at stake in the remaining primaries, and she trails by 156 here.

If all 37 uncommitted superdelegates in the remaining primary states vote for Hillary, and the other superdelegates vote according to the mandate of their home states, her superdelegate lead only grows to 369 to 324.

Can it be done?

Answer 1

I could be wrong on this but I believe that if niether have enough then the super delegates (and they alone) will decide.

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Answer 2

Sooo neither will have enough 'regular' delegates at the end of this thing, soo it'll go to the supers. We all know that. The supers, being free to make up their mind, have several things to consider. As has already been pointed out the Rev. thing, the bitter thing (which I don't understand the problem, h**l, I'm bitter after 8 Bushy years) ARE real liabilities to Obama. And the effects of these have shown up in the polls. But to really understand, think not as an ordinary voter, but as a career politician. Obama has set the record, in US history for fund raising, while Hil is flirting w/ the red. He has brought more new Dems into the picture than Hil, has more kinetic energy propelled by more contributors. He has energized an entire generation - THE (so called) APATHETIC generation at that. But most importantly, for a career politician, Obama represents the future. If they allow Clinton to steal this election from him (and it would be stealing) (after the whole Bush stolen election thing.. if anyone remembers that) they'd be risking their own future in politics. With all eyes on what they decide, I think it's highly unlikely that they'd take that risk, for the sake of her surname.

Hillary would be a forgotten figure after Super Tuesday if it weren't for her last name.

Answer 3

I think Obama is ahead under false pretenses. If the elections were started over today I bet Hillary would have already won. Reverend Wright, Ayres, the insults against the rural people and his wife's remarks would have made him lose the nomination by now.

Answer 4

Hillary CAN win the battle for the Democratic nomination, but whe will NEVER win the war! Can you just imagine McCain's face is he found out Hillary was his opponent?!!!! he has years and years and YEARS of stuff that she has been involved in that she protrays in one way but he would LOVE to portray in another. Obama is a fairly new Politician and as such has little to bring him down. I personally also think he WILL be the nomination. The Dems would be STUPID to try for a GHW Bush, Bill Clinton, GW Bush, Hillary Clinton Whitehouse!!!! Does that mean that Jeb Bush is our next President then Chelsea Clinton?! God we could do this for YEARS AND YEARS AND YEARS!!!!! The Country needs a change, and Obama and McCain can each bring that about. Each in their own way but a change none the less!

Answer 5

Hillary has the support of the mainstream voters.  Barack has the youth and minority vote.  They came out in droves for primaries, but they are traditionally a weak voting block.

If the Dems. pick him, McCain will definitely win. They have a chance with Hillary. There are way more middle aged/seniors/and women voters who will show up to support her.  (esp. if the war continues, prices are escalating, and Barack's preacher still keeps mouthing off)