Can anybody provide information on Cyclone Abe born now in Arabian ocean?

Question

Can anybody provide information on Cyclone Abe born now in Arabian ocean?

Answer 1

FEARS SUBSIDE: Forecasters have said it is unlikely a cyclone will hit the coast of Oman in the next few weeks. (Getty Images)

Fears of a second Cyclone Gonu battering the coast of Oman began to subside on Wednesday with forecasters downplaying the chance of any storm forming in the Arabian Sea.

Two UK-based meteorological centres on Monday warned that a cyclone could hit Oman and Yemen later this month, with the Directorate General of Meteorology and Air Navigation (DGMAN) stating a cyclone is forecast to strike the coastal region of Oman and Yemen on May 29.

However the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF), which said there was "potential" for a cyclone, withdrew its cyclone watch in the face of "invading westerly systems", according to the Times of Oman daily.

The ECMWF's seven-day forecasts released on Tuesday shows no indication of any significant weather event for the region, the newspaper said.

The Dubai Meteorological Office is also not forecasting a tropical storm for the region, with forecasters telling ArabianBusiness.com the office had not received an advisory from the Joint Typhoon Warning Centre, which monitors the world’s oceans for such events.

“We have seeing some unsettled weather in Socotra Island [southeast of Yemen]. There’s some cloud and thunderstorms there which could be triggering the other warning, but nothing we would recognise as a tropical storm,” a forecaster said.

He said the Met office computer models were not developing a storm in that area over the next seven days, but would be “keeping an eye” on developments.

Cyclone Gonu wreaked havoc on Oman in June, battering its coast for three days and killing around 50 people. It halted oil and gas exports, damaged main roads and bridges and caused floods and landslides across the country, costing the economy almost $4 billion.

Answer 2

cyclone abe is going to hit oman and yeman on the 29 of may which is a thursday

Answer 3

so far there is no much information available about  ABE cyclone, was predicted over thru oman on coming 29th may 2008. but it says not heavier like GONU was hitted last June 2007. def. will get more details coming these days....

Lets wait and see what ABE can do......

Muscat.

Answer 4

The spectre of an intense cyclone is looming large again in the north Arabian Sea, with latest forecasts suggesting that the Gujarat coast in India and Sindh in Pakistan could be in the line of sight for a hit.

The causative ‘low’ in the southeast Arabian Sea might just trigger the thundershowers over the southwest coast of India but is shown racing away to the north-northwest and intensifying rapidly into a cyclone of raw power.

The ‘low’ is likely to form during the next two days, according to an update by India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Thursday.

A preparatory ‘trough of low pressure’ already extends over east Arabian Sea at sea level along and off of the Maharashtra-Kerala coast.

LANDFALL AREA

The north-northwest track would seem to take the system for a landfall over Oman, but only just. Instead, the system would screech to a halt mid-course over the north Arabian Sea, drop anchor for sometime feeding voraciously on whatever moisture available, before yanked to the east by the prevailing westerly for a final assault on the India/Pakistan coasts.

It’s again the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) that is depicting the latest cyclone scenario amid the mayhem touched off by a relentless array of strong and deep westerly systems sashaying across the ‘strategically important’ waters of north Arabian Sea.

The intense westerly activity is making any informed weather guidance near-impossible, which explains the forecast flip-flops made in relation to peaking weather in the Arabian Sea in recent times.

A cyclone alert was issued for Oman earlier, only to be withdrawn after a day or two.

But the latest alert warrants close scrutiny if only for the fact that the IMD, the nearest Regional Meteorological Centre responsible for making locally relevant forecasts, has assessed that the ‘low’ over southeast Arabian Sea is likely to intensify and move in a northwesterly direction.

According to the ECMWF, the system would accelerate double-quick, move north-northwest but grind to a halt in the north Arabian Sea positioned half-way between Oman and the Sindh/Gujarat coast around May 30/31.

The landfall could take place around June 1 over the Sindh/Gujarat coasts.

If these predictions were to come true, the brewing intense cyclone (to be named ‘Abe’) would make a worthy successor to super cyclone Gonu that struck Oman during the monsoon onset phase last year.

Similarities in the cyclogenesis (origin of a cyclone), growth and intensification are hard to ignore. The only difference is in the choice of a place for landfall.

Meanwhile on Thursday, a land-based trough extending from a cyclonic circulation over Pakistan and adjoining areas of Punjab and north Rajasthan lay stretched to Bihar across Haryana and Uttar Pradesh.

Moisture incursion from the nearby seas is filling the air over the Indo-Gangetic plains. Scattered to fairly widespread rain/thundershower with isolated thunder squalls or hail is likely over the Indo-Gangetic plains and adjoining central India during the next three days.

The prevailing heat wave conditions over coastal Andhra Pradesh are likely to abate during next 48 hours.

A warning for the next two days said thunder squalls accompanied with hailstorm are likely over Punjab, Haryana, northeast Rajasthan, Chandigarh, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Bihar and West Bengal and Sikkim.

Answer 5

http://sify.com/news/fullstory.php?id=14...

http://newshopper.sulekha.com/newsitem/i...

http://in.news.yahoo.com/indiaabroad/200...

http://www.hindustantimes.com/redir.aspx...

http://andhracafe.com/index.php?m=show&i...

http://www.thaindian.com/news-snippet/af...

http://www.twocircles.net/2008may09/afte...

http://kochin.blogspot.com/2008/05/cyclo...

Hope it Helps!!!!!!!!!