Question:

Can anyone including United States Geological Survey, predicts earthquakes?

by  |  earlier

0 LIKES UnLike

Can anyone including United States Geological Survey, predicts earthquakes?

 Tags:

   Report

3 ANSWERS


  1. NO, they can only predict where they have the potential to occur


  2. An earthquake prediction is a prediction that an earthquake in a specific magnitude range will occur in a specific region and time window. Seismologists bring forth seismic hazard assessment programs by estimating the probabilities that a given earthquake or suite of earthquakes will occur. That is not a true earthquake predication. Earthquake predications are not accepted by seismologists. Earthquake prediction is controversial because data are sparse and there is little evidence or verified physical theory to link observable phenomena to subsequent seismicity. It is virtually inevitable that some will succeed by chance. Assessing whether a successful prediction is a fluke is challenging. Earthquake pre detection is more reliable than earthquake prediction since it is based upon detecting the non destructive primary waves that travel more quickly through the earth's crust. I find it interesting that Chinese earthquake prediction research is largely based on unusual events before earthquakes, such as change of ground water levels, strange animal behavior and foreshocks. They successfully predicted the February 4, 1975 7.3 Haicheng earthquake and the China State Seismological Bureau ordered an evacuation of 1 million people the day before the earthquake. The best method of earthquake predication and ever since the beginning of recorded history, observations of unusual animal behavior before earthquakes have been recorded by people from almost all civilizations. I believe animals sense the immediate onset of earthquakes. In support of this claim, instances are cited when people have witnessed flight of animals just before an earthquake disaster. A few minutes before the killer tsunami waves generated by an underwater earthquake hit that Indian coastline in December 2004, a 500 herd of blackbucks rushed away from the coastal areas to the safety of a nearby hilltop. Personally, I prescribe to the idea that a special hotline or Web site where people could call or write in if they saw strange behavior in their animals. A computer would then analyze the incoming messages to determine where they originated. A sudden surge of calls or e-mails from a particular region might indicate that a quake was imminent. This just may be the best thing going for us in the next few years until we learn more about earthquake predications.

  3. Whatever affects sound at different altitudes is enough to make birds walk drunk when on the surface especially before earthquake and storm activity.Something brittle

Question Stats

Latest activity: earlier.
This question has 3 answers.

BECOME A GUIDE

Share your knowledge and help people by answering questions.