Question:

Chances of plane crash? Postive advice?

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so im going on a flight to dublin on wednesday, from new york. ive never been on a 7 hour flight before and im deathly afraid of flying. i know what its like, but im still always scared the plane will crash, what are the odds of this happening on this flight ?

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  1. probaly 99.9 chance you wont.......................but there is still that .1 chance


  2. The odds are incredibly low.  You're 100 times more likely to die in a car accident on the way to the airport than you are to die in an airplane accident.  

    There's a great book called "Innumeracy" by John Allen Paulos.  He talks about why our society is bad at math (in layman's terms - very readable, particularly if you are bad at math).  One of the things he talks about is how the news skews our understaning of odds.  See, on the news, they report unusual events, like plane crashes.  You are going to hear about almost every plane crash that ever happens.  But they don't come on the news and say "5000 airplanes took off today, and none of them crashed" - all they report is the once in a blue moon when one does.  This gives you a skewed view that these unusual events happen more often than they really do.

    I'd encourage you to pick up a copy - maybe read it on the plane.  :-)

  3. its been proved that more ppl die from falling coconuts than plane crashes  

  4. More people dies every year from car accidents than those who ride on an airplane. But lets improve your idea about airplanes, please tell us what airplane is going to take you to dublin tomorrow. I bet it will be either a A340 or a BOEING 747. What airline is it?

  5. I'll bet the chances of any particular flight being involved in an accident are about like those of your being beaten to death with a frozen porcupine.

    Ask your doctor for a 'tranky' for the flight and don't fly often.

  6. I see a commercial airliner take off every three mins from the local airport. Been here several months and none have crashed.

    Chances of the plane falling out of the sky are less than being mugged in Dublin.  

  7. Planes are the safest form of transport by far, the chances of being in a plane crash are 1 in millions and millions. Your life is more at risk walking to the shop.

  8. On an average day in the US there are 87,000 flights. That amounts to 31,755,000 flights per year. http://www.natca.org/mediacenter/bythenu...

    Out of those flights, there is an average of 47 accidents per year, or one in 675,638 chance of a plane being in a crash. http://aviation-safety.net/pubs/asn/asn_...

    In other words, you are fairly safe and should not worry too much.

    I hope this helps.

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