Do physics people really believe in abiogenesis and evolution?

Question

Can you compute the odds of a complex life form, like a human, evolving? Is that even possible to compute?

Answer 1

abiogenisis is a hypothetical thought.

evolution it seems is real.

If you were God   would you hand make all us idiots?

Or would you make a machine and let us name it evolution?

Answer 2

You'd probably be interested in reading Lee Spetner - Not By Chance! -Shattering The Modern Theory of Evolution." Spetner is a physicist, also a theist. This is not about abiogenesis, nor evolution in general, but a critical view neoDarwinism. The book is not without its critics:

http://home.planet.nl/~gkorthof/kortho36...

http://www.talkreason.org/articles/spetn...

Concerning abiogenesis, I would emphasize that we don't know how it happened, even though there are plenty of hypotheses. One could try to work backward to generate probabilities from what we know about existing life but without the initial conditions any mathematical treatment would be so speculative that it could be easily dismissed.

The reason life no longer springs from non-living matter is that the same initial conditions I mentioned above no longer exist. As I said we don't know what they are but our current understanding looks something like this:

http://www.windows.ucar.edu/tour/link=/c...

Another thing to consider in these calculations is that the Archean lasted 2.8 billion years, the law of large numbers will have to enter into any probabilistic treatment adding further confusion to any result.

Computing these sorts of odds has been tried several times but nobody has ever generated anything very exciting. There's just too many variables in this path of investigation to produce anything more than speculation.