Does the shorter and weaker Hurricane Season signal the end of "Global Warming"?

Question

With only one weak hurricane this season, it looks like 2008 is going to be another dud season for hurricanes. Bertha can't even maintain hurricane strength in the open oceans.

In 2005 we were told to prepare for more and stronger hurricanes because these were the symptoms of man made global warming.

But since reality never followed the harbingers of doom and gloom, we can just dismiss these claims as being fictitious.

Is it possible that it will be many decades before we see another active season like 2005?

Or do you sense that the lower activity of the Sun is the reason why there are so few hurricanes so far this year?

Answer 1

Randall, there was no flip-flop that you imagined.  Different people say different things.  For example, from your first post-Katrina link, "Critics say Wang's study is based on poor data that was rejected by scientists on the Nobel Prize-winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. They said that at times only one in 10 North Atlantic hurricanes hit the U.S. coast and the data reflect only a small percentage of storms around the globe."  Besides that, the study in question was referring to the number of hurricanes that hit the US not the total number.

Jello, once again, weather is not climate.  You cannot ever base your ideas of climate on one year, and certainly not on one month.  As Dana already pointed out, hurricane activity has been steadily increasing.

Answer 2

"Hurricane seasons have been getting longer over the past century and the big storms are coming earlier, LiveScience has learned. The trend has been particularly noticeable since 1995, some climate scientists say."

http://news.yahoo.com/s/livescience/2008...

The season also doesn't end for another 4.5 months.  But don't let the facts get in your way.  You never do.

Answer 3

Good point!

Seasons have never been "Guaranteed." lol

Global Warming is a Marketing tool.

Did you see my question?

Answer 4

Jello.......... Remember, it's not 'global warming'.... it's 'climate change.  'Climate change'  catches anything and everything..... global warming, global cooling, global stalling....ad nauseum.  That way, the climate alarmists can never be wrong..... even if the Earth has 'perfect' weather for the next 100 years, it will be because of something 'Bad' that man has done.  

"Let's keep those Grant $$$$ rolling!!!"

Answer 5

I sense that we are fed a line of cr*p by the govenment.  This is the mildest summer we have had in a long time.

I think global warming is a lie, among a lot of others we are led to believe.

Answer 6

No, can mean the start of something worse.

Answer 7

It is propagated by Gore and the Left. The data is flawed...

Answer 8

No.  Believers are not motivated by empirical data.  They are motivated by something else.

Answer 9

Read my lips: No.

Actual links with actual information below.

Answer 10

I'm sorry, but isn't it just early in July?  Why are we calling this a "shorter and weaker Hurricane Season"?

By the way, longer/shorter/weaker/stronger hurricanes are not fundamental to global warming.  I know you don't pay attention to the scientific literature, but the question of how global warming will affect tropical cyclones is far from decided.  The science is still out on this, so using it as an argument for or against global warming is stupid.

Oh, and by the way, who was the most prominent hurricane forecaster predicting a very active season in 2006?  None other than William Gray, who DOES NOT believe in AGW.

EDIT: Oh, and I forgot to mention, your "one weak hurricane this season" had been Category Three, which put it in the same category as Katrina when it went ashore in LA/MS.  But it doesn't really surprise me that you got that wrong.

Answer 11

The hurricane season is no shorter than any other year, but according to NOAA, it's getting longer...

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/G1.ht...

"The Atlantic hurricane season is officially from 1 June to 30 November. There is nothing magical in these dates, and hurricanes have occurred outside of these six months, but these dates were selected to encompass over 97% of tropical activity. June 1st has been the traditional start of the Atlantic hurricane season for decades. However, the end date has been slowly shifted outward, from October 31st to November 15th until its current date of November 30th."

Answer 12

About the time of Katrina they used to blame hurricanes on global warming:

http://www.boston.com/news/weather/artic...

http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,15...

http://abcnews.go.com/WNT/Science/story?...

http://www.news.com/8301-10784_3-5817067...

They changed their story on the hurricane link to the opposite of what it used to be right after Katrina:

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/01/2...

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk...

http://www.upi.com/NewsTrack/Science/200...

Whatever happens, they blame global warming.     If next year there are many strong hurricanes, they'll go back to saying global warming causes and strengthens hurricanes.

It's kind of funny - on this one they've made two contradictory arguments within a span of five years.    Clearly only one of the arguments can be true.    So, if you believe one of the arguments, you have to disbelieve the other - you have to "deny" it.  

So, I guess that makes EVERYBODY a denier!!!!!

You denialist deniers you!    Stop denying your denialistic denials of your denialist denying denials!   Deniers!!!!

EDIT - "not fundamental" - - - right, and if this summer passes without any major heat waves, heat waves will no longer be "fundamental" to the case for AGW.

Funny, they were fundamental to AGW when they were happening......

This is why we don't believe it.    The story keeps changing.    Whatever happens, all of a sudden it's bad and it's what global warming will bring.   Then if the opposite happens two years later, THAT'S bad and THAT'S what global warming will bring.

Then they insist there was no flip flip.   Yes, Manda, this was a 180.

Oh right and "weather and climate" again - the climate is just the sum of all the weather.    Weather that contradicts the AGW believers' predictions is "just weather" and weather that is consistent with them is "climate."