Help With Economy Question! Conquer Online?

Question

I play an online game called Conquer Online. You may purchase items called Dragonballs which have multiple uses, the rate is 2 for $8.00 USD.

The economy in the game is based somewhat on the price of these, the more there are, the cheaper they are, and the cheaper everything else costs. On one server, they cost 35,000,000 each and thus everything else is costly, cash wise, but always proportionate to the amount of Dragonballs. On another server (my server) they cost 15,000,000 each. Both servers are scheduled to merge in 30 days, there is going to be a huge economical change, and I know there is a way to profit from this. Any Ideas would be appriciated. I have a more descriptive hypothetical scenario typed out in another question. This is the link http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20080822031331AA6VkN2 Any advice at all would be appriciated.

*Other Information*

I have the cash to buy a lot of these Dragonballs on my server. Both servers are aware of the merge.

Answer 1

In theory you would profit by buying Dragonballs cheaply on your server (at 15 million) and speculating that after the combined merger of the two servers (that is, the two economies) the price of Dragonballs would rise (due to the relative higher demand from players on the other server).

However, there are at least two issues to keep in mind: First,

the recent patches since the inclusion of Second Rebirth, the Lottery, the Conquer Point system, and other features have caused tons of anger towards TQ Digital Entertainment and many veteran players quit the game (which is in fact the cause for the constant merging of the servers). If the number of players declines, the demand, and hence the value of Dragonballs may decrease, too.

Second, Dragonballs have economic complement goods (such as meteor or Gems), so the price of Dragonballs relative price of these complement goods on the two servers may also be important.