Question:

How accurate are GDP calculations? Off by a few billion dollars?

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there are several methods to measure GDP for a country... but when economists actually collect the data -- how much error is in the numbers? I never see a "standard deviation" or confidence limit for GDP figures... why is that?

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  1. Real growth rate are frequently revised , sometimes as much as 1/2 of a percent so the error must be on that order. However the absolute value of GDP is probably not that good because of the difficulty in measuring  many  badly reported sectors. I have seen estimates that  the government  misses as much  as 10 to 20% of the economic activity.

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