How do I figure out odds in Texas hold em?

Question

For instance if i am playing Texas Hold em with nine other people (ten players) and I get two spades in my hand a 6 and 9. The flop comes and it is three spades, a 4, A and 10,, what would be my odds of winning? or more important, how do I figure out my odds? I understand how others bet matters, but lets say I was playing at a church and most likely the people I was playing with didn't understand the game anyway? or if i was playing with people who had an idea, noone bet really big? SOOO CONFUSING!

Answer 1

well you really have to play a lot or read a few books to understand even more. you might be able to get some from the library. or just go to a bookstore many has a section just on texas hold em

or you can check this sight out

http://wptongsn.com

Answer 2

Well there is 8 spades out and there's 9 other players.  So the odds of any one player having 2 spades is (8/47)*(8/47) or roughly 3 percent.  Now in order to beat you one of them has to either be a J Q K so the calculation changes to (8/47)*(3/47) or 1% per player.  There's other ways to lose this hand though, for instance, another spade hits the board and then we're talking (3/47)+(3/47) or 13% per player which is a whole lot risker.  You also have to worry about a full house if the board doubles up.  However sitting with a 9 high flush on the flop with the 10 and A out, you're in great shape and the only thing I'd worry about on this street is your great grandpappy who only plays the nuts pushing at ya :)

King Cobra Poker

http://kingcobrapoker.com/lessons.html

Answer 3

Let's say you have Jh Th. The flop comes back 4h - 5h - Tc That gives you a really strong hand since you have top pair and the flush draw. To figure out what the odds are of the flush getting there you calculate the chances of it getting there on the turn and then the river and then putting them together.

Let's do that now. There are 13 cards of each suit in the deck, you can see that you have 4 of the hearts already so that leaves 9 remaining hearts to make your flush. You can also see 5 total cards (two in your hand and 3 on the flop). That leaves 47 unseen cards out of the 52. That means that you have a 9/47 of catching the flush on the turn.

We do the same thing on the river. There are now only 46 unseen cards but still 9 remaining hearts so the chance is now 9/46. If you are just calculating the chance of one card hitting the you can just do a simple division to get a percentage. For example, the chance of hitting your draw just on the turn card would be 9/47 or 19%.

Things get slightly more tricky when you have to figure out if you can hit the hand on either card (turn or river). To do this we flip the fractions to cards that WON'T help us and then we multiply them together. That will give us a percentage for NOT hitting our hand which we can use to figure out the percentage for hitting it.

So, for the turn card we said we had 9 outs from 47 unseen cards. That means that 38 must not help us then (47-9). That gives us 38/47. For the river we do the same thing (46-9): 37/46.

Now convert these to decimals and multiply them together. .80 * .80 = .64 or 64% of the time we won't hit it which must mean that 36% of the time we will.

Answer 4

You can't calculate those kind of odds.  If you have 69 of spades and the flop is 4AT of spades, you have a flush:

AT964 spades.

The only way your hand is going to significantly improve is if you hit the seven and eight of spades to make a straight flush.  But the odds of getting two perfect running cards is pretty slim.

Your biggest problem with this hand is that even if you have the best hand right now, you are in trouble if someone is holding a king or queen of spades and another spade comes off.

There is no real way to KNOW mathematically what the other players have, although you could do various calculations on the chances of another spade coming out to improve someone elses flush.

The problem here too is that you have stated this is a church game against bad players.  A really bad player with a spade in his hand may well refuse to fold to any bet hoping to hit his flush.

The problem with bad players, at least in the short term, is that it is almost impossible to make them lay down a draw, even if the math is all wrong for them to stay.  Since they don't understand the math, they hang around and try to get lucky.