How do I figure probability of bible prophecy being fulfilled?

Question

I am taking a probability and statistics class and need help in figuring probability of the bible prophesy about Christ being betrayed for 30 pieces of silver being fulfilled?

Answer 1

In order to answer the question, you have to define the random experiment involved here.  My knowledge of bible prophesies is null for all practical effects but i take it the prophesy was made before the historical event in question.  In that case, the random experiment would be to verify whether  the historical Jesus of Nazareth was betrayed for 30 pieces of silver before being crucified.

According to the Kologorov axioms of Probability:

By definition, random experiments have to be repeatable an indefinite number of times, under the same circumstances.  And since a historical event is not repeatable under the same circumstances, it cannot be considered a random experiment.  Therefore, the point in question is not a random phenomenon, does not have an associated sample space, and no probabilities can be calculated regarding this question.

According to the Laplace definition of Probability:

The probability of an event is defined as the quotient of the number of times it has been verified divided by the number of times the phenomenon has been observed, which is 1.  If you believe in the scriptures, then Christ really was betrayed and the probability would be 1.  If you take the scriptures to be false or otherwise doubt the existence of Christ, then the probability would be 0.  Skeptical Laplace would assign a 0.5 probability to each of those 2 possible outcomes.

According to the Bayesian definition of Probability:

The probability is equal to the degree of your subjective a priori belief as to this fact, which is measured by a real number ranging from 0 to 1.

Answer 2

Since currency is not made from silver, the chances are zero.