The EU gets a large amount of its oil and natural gas imports from Russia (something like 40%). Russia depends on the European market...so avoiding conflict is mutually benefitial. If this is the new model for most superpower relationships (US-China for instance), what is to prevent Putin from staging another invasion, this time in Transnistria or Nagorno-Karabakh, especially if the Ukraine snuggles closer to the West. What keeps China out of Taiwan or the Stans?
I really don't know the answer, does anyone have suggestions? Can we counter with Chinese pressure in Central Asia? Can we realistically keep Russia out of trade organizations (and will they function without Russia?) The whole model of USA-EU-China superpower balance based on mutual economic interest has sort of gone out the window.
Should I just move to the EU?
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