How do you predict the winner in a horse race?

Question

How do you predict the winner in a horse race?

Answer 1

I use a mixture of things.

* Speed and (potential) class

* Current form & workouts leading up to the race

* Current trainer & jockey

* How the horse has run on a certain surface and distance; especially when it comes to handicapping turf races and races run on synthethic tracks

* Possible pace scenarios.  This can be really important if you have a handful of early frontrunners that can tire each other out and set it up for a stalker/closer, or if there are only a few early speeders that might be able to shake loose and find something left to hold off the closers.

I play all of that out, combined with the odds, to try to come up with winners at value, because that's where the money is.

Answer 2

handicap the races, talk to the stable workers, or i like to bet jockeys, not so much trainers, take for example Todd Pletcher, the best trainer statistically in the u.s. but he has only won 1 triple crown race out of 22 or 23

Answer 3

Guess!  Just like everyone else... unless it fixed!

Answer 4

Speed rating and past performance in the last 3 races... it's not for certain... but it's usually close.

Answer 5

I have always combined 1)Jockey , 2) Morning line up and 3) Jockey change to get results.

Answer 6

bet the top 5 trainers and 5 top jockeys..they will win 80% of the races at any given track, and if you can get the top jockey and top trainer with the same horse, what a bet that is....good luck and good racing...

Answer 7

they call it handicapping not predictions....anyways i'm not certain if there is any one way to do it...everytime i go to the track it seems to me that the people know best....i watch the odds for a horse getting alot of action...example: if a horse starts out at 50/1 then by 3 or 4 mins.to post he's dropped to 4/1 or 5/1 ill bet him to place or show...i never bet a horse to win...good luck i hope this helps

Answer 8

YOU CAN'T . THE SPORT IS UNFORTUNATLY TOO CORRUPT , WITH HORSES BEING PULLED UP AND HAVING DRUGS IN THEIR SYSTEM . OH I NEARLY FORGOT THE BOOKIES AND HOW MUCH THEY PAY JOCKEYS TO LOSE !!