How do you think global temperatures will change over the next decade?

Question

Climate scientist at the Hadley Centre Met Office have predicted that global temperatures will increase rapidly after 2009, with at least half of the five following years expected to be hotter than the warmest year on record.

http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSN0837368420070809?feedType=RSS&rpc=22&sp=true

A recent German study concluded that natural cooling effects could be stronger than anthropogenic global warming effects over the next decade, causing global warming to 'pause' (before kicking in again strongly afterwards).

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aU.evtnk6DPo&refer=worldwide

The scientists at RealClimate believe the German study is wrong:

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/05/the-global-cooling-bet-part-2/

One reason - the method seems to have produced already two false cooling forecasts: one for the decade centered on 1970, and one for the decade centered on 1999.

So who do you think is right, and why?

Answer 1

global temperatures will change just like they have done for thousands of years and the earth is in another form of constant cycles.

Unfortunately, because we have never experienced this in our recent generations. the world and government wants to act as a crusader by doing something good to redeem of all the wrong we have previously done.

When they should concentrate on helping those in need across the world who are constantly suffering because of injustice.

Answer 2

I have no idea who is right. But they both agree that warming will eventually come on strong. I hope it does hold steady to give us more time to find a solution. On the other hand, if the temperature doesn't warm soon, people will continue to ignore it.

Answer 3

It doesn't matter. Climate change over a 10 year period is inconsequential and not indicative of any long term trend.

Answer 4

2014 - the year that solar scientists predict that global cooling will be readily noticable because of the decrease in solar activity - solar flares and sun spots.

Answer 5

i agree with the hadlye centre met office because there are so many facts that are saying global warming is happening

Answer 6

I've heard that Japan is trying to find a relatively safe way to mine for Methylene Hydrogen (?) and several couples seem to want no children or are waiting until they're older (lower population=lower consumption/waste) and I'm aware of some who think AGW isn't real but they still recycle and are having to cut back on everything that's gone up in price that has anything to do with oil/gas. So I don't know. I hope demand doesn't increase that much but I know my opinion might be biased by what news I am paying attention to.

Answer 7

i think temperatures will continue to decrease

Answer 8

I still stick by the concept that the term "excess energy in the biosphere" is a more accurate description than "Global Warming".  The increase in energy will most likely be expressed as wilder extremes in weather rather than large increases in median temperature globally (at least until the latent heat of fusion absorbed by Arctic ice melting is complete).  

Experts aren't sure if AGW will change the thermohaline currents in the North Atlantic which could make Europe a fridge and the Maritimes the next Carribean.  Heat energy drives the water cycle which creates high winds and lightning.

There are many expressions of excess energy in the biosphere, not just increased temperature.

Answer 9

The future is speculation, not to say that both sides of the debate have esteemed experts and both can give good arguments.  However in the end its still a educated guess, nature can be at times, very unpredictable.

Answer 10

Probably neither.  After all, both sides are just guessing, trying to determine the probably of what will happen.  It's like using scientific methods to figure out who's going to win the Super Bowl next February.

If an object is dropped, we know exactly how fast it's going, the exact rate of acceleration, the exact distance it's traveled at any point in the objects decent.  This information does not depend on a the subjective thoughts of any group as this information is objective.

This is nothing like the "science" of global warming, as people chose a group that they believe more than other groups.  There is no reason or logic to why they chose one group over the other except their emotions pull them to an opinion.

No one can predict the future.  Any prediction is just a random guess, and guesses are not science.  You cannot predict the climate any more that you can pick who's going to win the next Superbowl.

Answer 11

I'm waiting for the new game show to come out. Weather Wheel of Fortune, some of the prizes offered could be extended stays in the Arctic basking in the sun. Or maybe deep sea diving on the NJ turnpike. I got to admit this is one of your better questions.

Answer 12

are we not having an iceage that is something like 5000 years behind and i think there is no stopping mother nature from her job to heal the earth and maybe  the earth will heal itself with less human interaction in future

Answer 13

I think the tempuratures are probably going to continue to rise, not rapid, bu slowly... enough to melt the ice, but slow enough for the melted ice or water, to evaporate... I don't think any major city is going to be submerged under water, but I do agree with the world drying up... But if the ice caps did melt alot quicker, than I'd probably agree with Vice Pres. Gor about the next ice age... Probably than we'd go through another Global cooling... Either way somethings going to change...

Answer 14

Of course- it's called natural climate change. It happens all the time.

Answer 15

Given that global warming overpowered a strong La Nina cooling influence last year and Arctic and Greenland ice volumes are at an all time low, global temperature trends are most likely to continue up:

http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2...

The year 2007 tied for second warmest in the period of instrumental data, behind the record warmth of 2005, in the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) analysis. 2007 tied 1998, which had leapt a remarkable 0.2°C above the prior record with the help of the “El Nino of the century”. The unusual warmth in 2007 is noteworthy because it occurs at a time when solar irradiance is at a minimum and the equatorial Pacific Ocean is in the cool phase of its natural El

Nino – La Nina cycle.

We could sure use a decade of flat to cooling temperatures, but there's no record any any such trend starting now.

Answer 16

I think that in the next decade the weather will get hotter because of global warming but it will also rain more as the sea levels are rising because the polar ice caps are melting. In my opinion the Hadley Centre Met Office will be right in the short term but I do agree with the German study which says things will cool off naturally followed by global warming. However as humans have messed with nature so much who knows what will happen.