How much of a bump do the Republicans get after this convention?

Question

1-5 point

5-10 point

Answer 1

I hazard to guess at least 8-10 points, possibly more!  Sarah will be the star!

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Answer 2

the only bump they will get will be the one on bristol palin's stomach.

Answer 3

I wont give you numbers but i know for a fact it will be high because while all the polls have been showing Obama in the lead etc what the polls don't tell you is that a big majority of Republicans were not giving their vote yet until they found out about the VP. Now that they know, now that conservatives feel safe, Christians feel safe, heck even some g*y groups will give their votes to McCain ... i can tell you the numbers will rise.

Answer 4

Hard to say. After Sarah's speech tonight we'll know more. I wasn't impressed with Thompson or Lieberman last night.

I think there will be some backlash in the South over the Gustav handling after the evacuees go home tomorrow.

Right now I'm going to say 5 point bump max. If Palin is exceptional this evening, then maybe 8 points.

I have a feeling the DNC is going to be ready with something to knock the GOP back a few points.

Answer 5

Actually Obama got a little bump after Sarah Palin was announced, but that is rare.

Answer 6

Enough to kick Obama's azz back Venezuela where he belongs...

Answer 7

the base will be all fired up and ready to kick some butt.

Answer 8

Reported by the liberal / neo-socialist press: none to 2%

In reality and on the Internet: 10% to 15%

We have won the war in Iraq, the troops are coming home, there will soon be McDonald's in Baghdad and in the next four years, there will be no more Kennedy's in higher officers.  All will be well.

Answer 9

The speed bumps outside of the convention center.

Answer 10

1% to 3% they get most Religious Right voters who were on the fence -- but they lose a number of independents. They lose  the "womans place is in the home obeying their husbands far far religious right"