Question:

How reliable would you say forecast for the weather 7 days ahead are?

by | earlier

I'm going on a small trip from the 4th to the 5th of June and i have been seeing that the weather may be very bad...(state sites on the internet)...how reliable are they since they are predicting the weather for more than 4 days into the future....is it possible that the the forecast could change.

I really don't want it to be a rainy day on my trip...that would spoil everything.

Tags:

Report

Answer The Question I've Same Question Too

Follow Question

7 ANSWERS

Sort By: Date | Rating

i believe the first day after that they can really determine it
Report (0) (0) | earlier
Even with all the techno we have now, the longer the forcast the greater chance of it not being right.

Rule of thumb, 24 hours 80% - 90%

                          48 hrs     60%- 75%

                           5 days    40%-60%

                           7 days     25% - 40%

                          mores than 10% - 40%

remember just a 1/2 degree shift in weather patterns out a sea or over europe will lead to a different patetrn of weather for the UK
Report (0) (0) |   earlier
Depends where in the UK you're going to really.

The north is usually much more gloomy and rainy and colder than the south apart from last bank holiday which was abit topsy-turvy lol.
Report (0) (0) | earlier
not very!

look at today compared to yesterday!

i would only go on the next couple of hours
Report (0) (0) | earlier
At 7 days I would say 50/50 at best. Unless there is a major storm system or conditions that are extremely obvious. Unfortunately its weather. We all complain but, there ain't a thing we can do about it. The odds are better for a more accurate forecast as you get closer to the date.

Remember being a meteorologist is the only job that you can be wrong 66% of the time and be called a success.
Report (0) (0) | earlier
Not very reliable, but as it's June, it should come as no surprise to you that temperature should be comfortable, it will probably rain a bit, and it will be dark by 9.30pm. Beyond that, it's wide open ! ! !
Report (0) (0) | earlier
Don't bother looking at the 7 day forecast for the UK especially from a website.

The weather in the UK is unpredictable. "if you don't like the weather, just wait 5 Min's and it will change".

I can tell you that you probably will have a rainy day here but I can also tell you that there will be sunshine too.....
Report (0) (0) | earlier