On the face of it, Alastair Darling made a big mistake by hinting that there maybe a relaxation of stamp duty. The uncertainty seems to have made matters worse - as agents are reporting the remaining house sales are now faltering pending possible stamp duty savings.
This could have the affect of making things much worse for a short period.
This maybe beneficial however - money supply in lenders will build without an outlet. Pressure to sell will increase amongst some. And there will be be pent-up demand to buy.
A head of steam will build in each. Then an announcement about stamp duty, perhaps coupled with some other measures* might ensure the flow of transactions is maintained after the initial burst.
(other measures might inculde some additional govmnt funds for lenders, an interest rate reduction in Autumn)
If I'm not right - then he really has bungled the issue.
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