Question:

Is China going to war against Taiwan ?

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I was on youtube watching c**p about Chinese military parade and they said something about going to war with Taiwan.Are they going to war?

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  1. "Youtube" is the medium.  It is not a source for anything, other than people's conjecture, opinions, and political positions.

    If China wanted to attack to Taiwan, they might well have done so by now.  Given the difference in size and resources the outcome of an attack would be a foregone conclusion.  China would get a bloody nose, but they would prevail.

    Anyone who thinks that the US will get sucked into a war with China over little Taiwan is sadly mistaken.

    It is to be hoped that common sense and sanity prevail--on both sides of the strait.


  2. china is just all talk and no game.

    china thinks they own the world.  If they were going for Taiwan, they would have done it by now.  Taiwan's economy (as small as it is) is one of the best in the world... granted they are VERY TINY, but they produce computer chips and many technological products to advance the world.  China is just jealous of the success of Taiwan that they just want to continue to scare them, JUST like a bully.

  3. No, but China considers Taiwan as China while Taiwan considers it as its own country.  If China goes to war the United States pledged an allegiance to Taiwan.  

    Answer to your question is not soon.

  4. Not likely, at least in the near future. A war in which China attempts to formally recapture Taiwan would seriously destabalize the region, particularly Japan. And while US retoric supports Taiwan (we'll fight against the Chinese should such a war erupt) we officially endorse the "One China" model in our political/economic dealings with China (in other words, we privately accept China and Taiwan as being all part of China).

    The Chinese have stepped up talk about retaking Taiwan and have flexed a little military muscle in the region to reinforce their talk, but the odds of a war breaking out is unlikely. First, aside from pride, there really isn't anything in it for China to seize Taiwan. Second, Japan would become the battleground per se, as US military personel would build up on their bases in Japan and bombings/invasions would then be fought on Okinawa and Honsu. The Japanese definetly don't want that, so they'll exhaust every possible diplomatic alternative if the spectre of war even begins to materialize.

    The only way it could concievable go down would be 50 or so years from now. Assuming the US and China become dual superpowers (again, a stretch), and invasion of Taiwan by China (or a buildup and preemptive strike on our part to protect Taiwan/Japan) could be a pertext for general war between the US and China- probably driven by resources or political supremacy.  

  5. I hope so, its time to Take Taiwan back!

  6. They'd love to

    but I don't think they dare doing so

  7. What a joke, if they are to fight it should be last few years of action when everything is HOT.  Now/ everything is cooling to a peaceful front with talk for a better future for both with increase trade in tourism, food & fruits supply and soon cargo transfer by chartered planes.

    The bright sun is rising far out in the horizon and everywhere is brighter and clearer for overall judgement.

    Currently, one thing in doubt is the participation in the Olympic, but I see it as no problem will happen as it is a teething one and there are more to come by soon because not use to that close, just like old lovers quarrelling.

    From what is happening for the last few months, there will be much more reaction for the two sides and as new partners, there should be some itch & pain in the process but not that serious to cause dispute again.  Both are counting their steps and are very careful to avoid falls.  Much to see for the next 6 months till the New Year Boom.      

  8. the $ effect is far more effective than the war now. Taiwan is welcoming the mainlander to visit in July, it's like opening the arms to welcome the tourist from China, so in the foreseable future, there will be no war in between. well, there was a civil war between the two parties, long time ago, the KMT retreated to Taiwan after the communist took power in mainland. thanks to the Korea civil war, the US is attending the geographically important of Taiwan and collaboratively defencing Taiwan then. Now economy is overwhelming the political issues for the both sides.

  9. I don't think so. China said that in 2008 they would have war against Taiwan but it hasn't happened yet so I don't think they will.  

  10. I dont think they are but honestly I dont know

  11. The Taiwan - China dispute has been around a  very long time, since 1949 and will be around a lot longer. Chinese military buildup continues and the USA has stopped selling weapons to Taiwan recently.

    Heavy Taiwanese investment in mainland  China will  keep  any real violence  from escalating. The recent presidential election of  Ma Ying-jeou is very comforting to the Chinese.

    Eventual  unification is  a distinct  possibility.  About half of  the population  do  not support  it.  

  12. No! The Chinese military main objective is to protect the rich by helping the poor!

  13. They have had 60 years to do something about Taiwan and done zip. With the increase in bilateral trade, and the closer ties to a group of people in charge who basically will follow China's lead (...if it is a reasonable idea...) already, China doesn't need to waste resources and lives on a pointless violent invasion. They have their 'Manchurian candidate' already in. It remains to be seen how much he is on their leash.

    If they did invade, it would be a PRC soldier duck shoot across the island. They might make landfall but they wouldn't be capable of controlling it. They are barely capable of controlling anything outside of the city limits of Beijing and Shanghai, and even then, not much inside those cities is well controlled. Taiwan would be China's Iraq. Their coming here would destroy all that is desirable about the island. The only thing that keeps this island operating is the businesses who can trade all around the world. Few to none of them would stay, most of the machinary would be up in flames and all china would get is 26 million extra starving people chopping down all the fruit trees and poisoning the reefs to extract the protein of all the fish. The IT industry, well most of them would be leaving to Europe, USA, Canada, Australia. Only those with low talent would stay to be their slaves.

    If they did invade, the humanitarian cost would be very high. It might make the island a quieter place 3 years after, with a total pop of about 4 million. the other 22 million would likely be dead, mostly from starvation or rockets and bullets and internal looting, robbery, vengeance and chemical weaponry, and primarily disease or the others will have left to lower the pay scale of your local IT industry and engineering industries. Which might be a good thing in the short run for a couple owners, but is a bad thing for the economy in general, as then even fewer people could afford cars, houses, and food. Not that that's much of a change I suppose the way things are going.

    To say this is a good idea is quite stupid.

  14. No, They are not that stupid.

    They know their limitation and they cannot get enough people over the Straits in a short period of time to be able to "Take" the Island.

    Landing on the Island and keeping it is two different  situations.


  15. nope at least before  during or a short time after olympic games.you may ask Hu Jin Tao.but i bet that he won't tell you.

  16. It would be a good thing!

  17. The goal of Communism is to get as many people as possible under Communist domination. The ChiComs would dearly love to invade and conquer Taiwan. (Lives lost mean nothing to them. It's power they want.) But the pesky US stands in the way and would fight them if they tried.

    The won't do it now, but they may give it a shot if Obama is elected and proves to be as feckless as he vows. They will have nothing to lose but lives, and who cares about that?

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