Is the 2036 meteor gonna crash onto earth?

Question

has it been proven yet if the 2036 meteor will crash onto earth or miss earth? if its true that it will crash, has nasa figured a way to destroy it or something???

Answer 1

The current estimate of probability of impact with the Earth is 45,000 to 1, which makes a collision pretty unlikely. This figure will no doubt be refined over the years as more observations are made of this object. The most likely situation is that these odds will become even longer, so it's very unlikely there'll be a need to do anything. Destroying an asteroid heading towards earth would simply replace one big problem with thousands of small ones. Nudging it into a different orbit would be the way to do it.

Answer 2

it's quite possible, but the odds are still heavily against it.

Answer 3

It will miss. Early estimates of a possible collision were based on insufficient observations. A search of old records showed that it had been observed years earlier, and then lost track of. But those old observations fit perfectly with where that asteroid would have been back then, given what we already knew about its orbit. That historic position was added to the calculation to improve the accuracy of the orbit determination and showed conclusively that it would miss. It will pass close, but miss.

Answer 4

You have nothing to worry about.  NASA will figure out a way to deflect any large incoming object away from the earth.  They've already landed on an asteroid and destroyed one.  They have the technology in place.  All they need now is more practice.

Answer 5

Oh yeah, absolutely. But don't worry, I got my hard hat ready. At midnight on Jan. 1, 2036 I plan to put on my super, duper hard hat and wait for that meteor to come crashing down on mother earth. BTW, I got my binoculars ready too. Won't want to miss that beautiful fireworks display as it streaks through the sky.

Answer 6

I'm not sure about a 2036 meteor, but I do know that all known meteors or comets that are currently headed near us are near misses at worst.

There was a scare a while back, but I thought that one was supposed to strike around 2020.

EDIT:

Oh, here it is, not likely!

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ip?1.8e-...

Answer 7

You are getting your information from an old or unreliable source.

First, let's define terms. A meteoroid is an object in space normally debris leftover from a comet's passing or simply dust in our Solar System. Meteor is the flash of light that a meteoroid would produce if it enters Earth's atmosphere. Most of these are nothing more than the size of a grain of sand. If the meteoroid happens to land on Earth, it is called a meteorite. Most of these land in the oceans. About 4 meteorites are found every year.

What you speak of is called an asteroid. These are larger rocks typically a mile in diameter or larger.

The asteroid receiving the 2036 hype is called 2004MN4 but is better known by those who hype this asteroid as a doomsday object as 99942 Apophis.

When it was found that 2004MN4 posed no threat to Earth in 2029, those who desire to see the Earth end proposed 2036 as the next doomsday date. End-of-the-world hoaxers grab any reason they can dream of as an excuse and Apophis is no different.

They rely on the fact that most persons do not know how to research topics so they spread the gossip and the gullable look for a chair to hide under with their Bible in hand.

The latest calculation shows an impact chance of 1 in 45,000. This is very very small. The asteroid will circle the Sun again in 2011 and more exact measurements will without doubt make the impact risk even smaller.

Whenever asteroids are discovered, the impact risk to Earth always starts high and is continuously lowered as more observations calculate its orbit more exact.

You will no doubt receive answers from those who want to get some excitement out of their lives by preaching that the end is near. There will always exist those types. Don't fall for it. If there was an asteroid due to hit Earth in the next 100 years, you would know about it. You wouldn't have to find it like some secret on y/a.

Answer 8

Last I heard it is supposed to miss us but it will still be very close

Answer 9

as far as i know, whether it hits us or not still depends on whether it hits the so called 'keyhole' when it comes around first in 2029.

"You will no doubt receive answers from those who want to get some excitement out of their lives by preaching that the end is near. There will always exist those types. Don't fall for it. If there was an asteroid due to hit Earth in the next 100 years, you would know about it. You wouldn't have to find it like some secret on y/a."

i completely disagree.... most govts. would do EVERYTHING in their power to keep it a secret for as long as humanly possible.... i HIGHLY doubt that if NASA said there was an asteroid coming to hit us and there was little chance it'd miss, that life would continue as it has.... society would fall apart... people would panic and it would be a continuous downward spiral from there.

you seem fairly educated so you should be able to grasp this point very well...

Answer 10

Ask again in 2037.

Answer 11

"Meteorid"" or "Asteroid". It is not a "Meteor" until it enters the earth's atmosphere.

Answer 12

The asteroid in question is called Apophis.

It is being watched.

At present the chances of it hitting are 1 in 45000.

However, that number will be revised (it's remarkably hard to get accurate measurements on an object that small).

Please check out this link:

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/apophis/

it is about predicting whether Apophis will hit Earth.

this is lifted directly from that link:

"While trajectory knowledge was substantially corrected by the Arecibo data, a small estimated chance of impact (less than 1 in 45,000 using standard dynamical models) remained for April 13, 2036. With Apophis probably too close to the Sun to be measured by optical telescopes until 2011, and too distant for useful radar measurement until 2013, the underlying physics of Apophis' motion were considered to better understand the hazard. "

the chance of it hitting is pretty small....