Forget the polls, pundits and handicapping. The surest sign that McCain is in trouble is not the unconventional pick itself, nor his panicked rush to select a teammate he'd barely met. The evidence is in the campaign's strategic emphasis -- co-opting change however possible. Everyone knew McCain was trying to define himself by running from Bush's message, (despite backing him over 90% of the time). It turns out he's also running towards Obama's message, defensively trying to cast his ticket as a change agent that will, as Palin says, "challenge the status quo in Washington."
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