To all my dear "Obama is toast" McCain supporters who first thought he'd not win Iowa, then thought he'd never knock off Clinton, then thought Reverend Wright would sink him, then thought Clinton would never support him, then thought the convention would turn into chaos, then thought this, then thought that....
...here's the painful (awww) facts.
It is only about 65 days to election day. Both tickets have been formed, and even after Palin was added to the ticket, today's Rasmussen poll shows Obama up by 3% and Gallup shows him up by 6%. Intrade's national betting line shows him a 61% likelihood to win, and that's not democrat spinmeistering, that's actual objective money bets.
Now to make matters worse, YOUR convention, is going to have to compete with a monsterous hurricane heading for New Orleans to make everyone remember round #2 of Republican incompetence, not to mention fight the convention for top billing on the news cycles.
On top of this, Obama's inexperience has now been backed up by a VP choice that's a 30+ year senate veteran with mounds of foreign policy experience.
YOUR canidate, who's had cancer 3 times, has his 72 year old heartbeat insured by a woman 99% of America never heard of 5 days ago that was mayor of a 9,000 person Alaskan village 19 months ago, and in terms of a desperate bid to grab Clinton holdouts, she stands for virtually everything Hillary stands against...
So, with 65 days to go, you're 4 or 5% down, your convention is fighting of all things Katrina Part 2, your VP is every bit as raw if not rawer than Obama with your main man setting the all time candidate age record, and worst of all, the way the electorate map breaks down, most analysts feel McCain has to beat Obama by about 2% nationally before he's likely to have the electoral college advantage.
So please explain to me, with 65 days to go, no DNC convention disaster to bank on, no VP choice left to boost you or detract the democrats, how the h**l you think you're gonna make up 7 to 8% on Obama in the next 65 days?
Tags: