There are 10,000 buyers and 8,000 sellers of used cars. Each seller has one car, which is either high quality (a "plum") or low quality (a "lemon"). A seller with a low-quality car will be willing to sell it for $5,000, while a seller with a high-quality car will be willing to sell it for $10,000. Of course, only the seller knows whether a car is high or low quality. A buyer is willing to pay $8,000 for a low-quality car and $13,000 for a high-quality car.
Suppose that 75% of cars in the market are low quality. That is, 75% of sellers have low-quality cars.
If all sellers offer their cars for sale, what is the expected value of a car to a buyer?
A. $6,750
B. $8,000
C. $13,500
D. $9,250
In my opinion, it's probably D...I mean, the buyer has no clue whether the car is high or low quality....so the price I'd expect the car to be is around 9250$ to offset the confusion - i guess. anyone have a different approach?
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