Having a discussion with a guy in Melbourne and he said that it was only a matter of time that an AFL team was in Canberra. I told him there are a number of reasons why it won't happen.
1 - Established Rugby city with the ACT Brumbies and the Canberra Raiders.
2 - No ground. Despite the AFL and ACT Govt redeveloping Manuka Oval, it doesn't have any parking or transport. It's in an old area and Bruce Stadium has been developed for Rugby and Football.
3 - Lack of support. Rugby dominates, so AFL would be on the back foot. It's fine for guest appearances from Norths etc, but won't gain any popularity with ACT public.
The AFL are best to try for Tasmania and leave the ACT alone, except for guest appearances. They will lose millions otherwise
Your thoughts people
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