Question:

Probability (hard)...?

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1,2,3 there are 16 1,2,3's in a lottery, I guess that all 16 will turn out

1,2,3 as number 1. What are the odd's that I get all 16 right?

1,2,3 and what are the odds the get 15,14, 13, 12, 11, 10 correct? ty.

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  1. i don't get it  need more info


  2. If I understand this correctly, there are 16 "numbers", each number can either be "1, 2, or 3".  Also I would assume order matters here as in:

    {1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2}

    is NOT equal to

    {1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1}

    Assuming these things:

    The probability of all 16 being "1" is (1/3)^16 =  1 in 43,046,721

    This is also the same probability of you getting all 16 correct.

    15 correct:

    [16/1]*[(2/3)]*[(1/3)^15] = 1 in 1,345,210

    14 correct:

    [16*15/2/1]*[(2/3)^2]*[(1/3)^14]= 1 in 89,681

    13 correct:

    [16*15*14/3/2/1]*[(2/3)^3]*[(1/3)^13]= 1 in 9,609

    The same pattern works for 12, 11, and 10 correct...the answers are:

    12 correct:  1 in 1,478

    11 correct:  1 in 308.0

    10 correct:   1 in 84.0

  3. By ignoring all the 1,2,3's you wrote, I think I figured out your question.

    The answer that all 16 gambles turn out as 1 would be

    (1/3)   *there's a third of a chance it is a 1*  to the power of 16.

    So (1/3) ^ 16.

    Odds of 15 changes, it would become 15C1 * (2/3) * (1/3) ^ 15.

    You can calculate that.

    There are many sites you can search to explain this, it's not very complex.
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