Question:

Probability that heads never follows tails?

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Suppose a coin is tossed n times. H(i) is the event that the ith toss is heads, T(i) is the even that the ith toss is tails, and S is the event that H never follows T.

What's the probability of S in terms of n?

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  1. There are 3 possibilities.

    All of the n tosses result in heads.

    All of the n tosses result in tails.

    There are k heads followed by (n-k) tails.

    Probability of n heads = p^n

    Probability of n tails = p^n

    P(r=k)= nCk p^k (1-p)^(n-k) --- (case 3)

    We can assume p=1/2 if the coin is fair.

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