Runners from a particular country entered the new york marathon each year for the last year and 5 year and?

Question

placed in the top 3. the probability of placing in the top 3 next year is?

a. 50%

b. greater than 95%

c. greater than 90%

d. greater than 50%

Answer 1

To many unknows to give an answer and I like maths. Probabilities range from amount of runners right through to weather conditions, similiar training....bla. Unanswerable.

Although.... I would take d with some of my money and I am a gambling man. The odds would be to short however.