Question:

Since selecting Palin for VP, how many percentage points has McCain lost in the polls ?

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this is what it is now, what was it before ?

http://news.yahoo.com/election/2008/dashboard;_ylt=An57tkGosgkwnwPvMnqL7NpsnwcF

I know people on here were saying that the zogby poll showed him in the lead a couple weeks ago...

Any ideas what could be happening here ?

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  1. They were both bouncing around 44-46%, in a statistical tie.  Obama got a boost from the convention which was about the historical average.  The effect of the Palin selection is not yet known.


  2. 1.8 points. But that is within the margin of error.

    Also keep in mind the polls you see are almost always at least 48 to 72 hours behind the news cycle.

    Another note is that Obama should of had at least a 10 point or more bump, this is after all a democratic year.

    Then you will see within the next week is Obama's numbers plunge to the low 40s or maybe even the high 30s and then a few weeks later a dead heat in all likelihood.

  3. He hasn't really lost any points, but Obama has had his "bump".

  4. In the Rasmussen Poll he gained point!

  5. The public will get their first real look at Palin tonight at the RNC.  The polls are reflecting the bump Obama got from the DNC.  Obama's convention bump is quite small compared to past presidential campaigns.  

  6. I believe it was 49 to 41 Obama a couple days ago

  7. By all accounts Obama should have received a 10-15 point bounce from his convention. He got 4-6. That means Palin got McCain somewhere between 6-9 points.  

  8. It wasn't a couple of weeks ago that Zogby showed a 2 point lead it was this weekend.  The bounce that you are seeing for Obama the convention last week.  There is always a convention bounce.

  9. The DNC was just held. There I always a bump after a convention. Usually they are bigger. Wait til Monday, things will be back to normal, and you will wonder againwhy Obama is losing.

  10. Hmm..maybe that America is flabbergasted by his VP pick.......
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