The Technological Singularity - What are your views?

Question

Within a few decades, machine intelligence will surpass human intelligence, leading to The Singularity.

Two years after Artificial Intelligences reach human equivalence, their speed doubles. One year later, their speed doubles again. and so on... this seems not the kind of event to misjudge or underestimate.

What are your views?

Also here are some interesting recent docos on the subject..

Visions of the Future:The Intelligence Revolution

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=14SZb_uleA8

BBC Horizon - Human v2.0

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ArYzyE63MH8

Answer 1

I've got very disappointed at the predictions because many of them are still, in our current 2007, far from becoming true. So if kurzweil fails to make even short term predictions what can i say about long term ones? The impression i now started having is that he "rushes" these predictions so much so they will match his wishful thinking of being still alive when we have the technology to give us indefinite lifespans.

Still, i DO belive all his predictions will come true, but with some decades of delay, which might make Kurzweil feel unfomfortable, but i don't know, who am I to judge him anyways? I just got disappointed with the predictions he made in 1999 for the decade we're living.

Answer 2

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