Question:

What's the chance of there being another earthquake here in southern california?

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after today's 5.4 earthquake, what's the chance of there being another one tomorrow (wednesday 7/30) or thursday?

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3 ANSWERS


  1. Pretty good. There  are always aftershocks of some magnitude. Lived there 30 yr.


  2. The earthquake because of its low magnitude  of Richter scale less than 6 you may not get any appreciable after shocks.If the magnitude is high you will get more after shocks.Another factor is if the tectonic plate edges are smooth ( that will happen if earthquake have not struck that place for very long time ) it may not produce after shocks.But nothing is perfectly predictable.

  3. CA statistics, not prediction:

    10% 5+

    5-10% 5.4+

    7 days, 15 miles range from epicenter.

    http://quake.wr.usgs.gov/recent/reports/...

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