Question:

What are the chances of a terrorist being on a plane from the UK to Japan??

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thats the only thing im worried about when i get on planes ._. does anyone have any figures or statistics??? and how many airplane attacks have there been?? japan isnt a real terroristy place is it?? =O

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18 ANSWERS


  1. one in 12 million, bring your own terrorist, the odds are astronomical that two are aboard at the same time not knowing of the other!


  2. Statistically, about than one in a billion.  You're more likely to die tripping on a sidewalk crack than you are as a victim of a terrorist plot on an airplane to Japan.

  3. Go ask a terrorist statistician.  

  4. The chances are 50/50. You never know where they are.

  5. No chance if you leaving from Heathrow , well no chance of them having anything that could possibly be used to hijack a plane with anyways.

    you might be unlucky and fly over 1 with a heat seeking rocket launcher though ...

  6. Stop panicking - whats the big deal - there are potentially terrorists everywhere - but if we thought like that then we wouldn't go anywhere - enjoy your trip - i dont think Japan is on any terrorist agenda!!!

  7. same chance as me winning the lottery, I have not checked tonights though so hold that thought  

  8. Pretty small. They really want to kill us Americans.

  9. I'm the same. But from here to Japan... I'd say no chance. There is nothing to worry about.

  10. none maybe if your going to iraq then i would start to worry

  11. Logically speaking anyone can be a terrorist in state of mind. Chances of them acting out their cause is very much diminished in this day and age. Just read the stories of some of the crazy people that have done stupid things on planes. Passengers and flight crews get involved very quickly before the idiots can start a chain reaction.

    I personally would not hesitate to attack someone trying to jeopordize me and fellow passengers. Don`t ever try to open an emergency door while in flight or you`ll have a sleeper hold on you real fast, or worse.

  12. it won't happen. security is tighter than ever - i got beeped for wearing a belt and they gave me a full check. even so, what are the chances of it happening, 1 in a bazzzilion. millions of planes take off each day around the world.

  13. none because it wont happen  

  14. Don't know. What are the chances of a terrorist being on a domestic flight heading for the twin towers?

  15. Your chances of being run over on the way to the airport are probably about 10000 times higher.

  16. For all practical purposes, zero.

    There could be non-recommendable people on board, but they cannot act out terrorist activities because security at airport is tight enough one could not bring instruments to conduct terrorists acts on board.

    When was the last time terrorists act occured in airplanes? Answer: before current security cheks were implemented. Since then: zero. We're safe now. Perhaps even too safe, those airport checks are a bit over the top.


  17. Happens all the time. I wouldn't make that flight if I were you.

  18. Using data that combines information from the Federal Aviation Administration, the RAND Corporation, and a newly developed database on global terrorist activity, we are able to examine trends in 1,101 attempted aerial hijackings that occurred around the world from 1931 to 2003. We have especially complete information for 828 hijackings that occurred before 1986. Using a rational choice theoretical framework, we employ econometric time-series methods to estimate the impact of several major counter hijacking interventions on the likelihood of differently motivated hijacking events and to model the predictors of successful hijackings. Some of the interventions examined use certainty-based strategies of target hardening to reduce the perceived likelihood of success while others focus on raising the perceived costs of hijacking by increasing the severity of punishment. We also assess which specific intervention strategies were most effective for deterring hijackers whose major purpose was terrorism related. We found support for the conclusion that new hijacking attempts were less likely to be undertaken when the certainty of apprehension was increased through metal detectors and law enforcement at passenger checkpoints. We also found that fewer hijackers attempted to divert airliners to Cuba once that country made it a crime to hijack flights. Our results support the contagion view that hijacking rates significantly increase after a series of hijackings closely-clustered in time. Finally, we found that policy interventions only significantly decrease the likelihood of non-terrorist-related hijackings.

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