What are the chances that the US is going to attack Iran before Bush is out of office?

Question

From what I am hearing my guess is 50/50 chance

Answer 1

I think the chances are very slim due to the fact that he doesn't really have the political capital to launch such an attack.  If he did have the political capital: I would agree with your assessment, or maybe even increase those chances.

Answer 2

The attack is coming no doubt...the recons are already on the ground In Iran looking for bomb targets.

Bush will attack Iran around early October...heres why.

1. Because he's the egotistical control freak that he is, he will damand at least 3 months to prosecute and exocute the war before he hands the reigns over to the next President.

2. Bush has no choice but to attack Iran because

A. Obama is leading in the polls and willl likely win the Presidential race...what does this mean...it means that Bush can insure that the troops stay in Iraq. if he attacks Iran, the troops would have to stay right where they are to protect Iraq from invasion. Bush Knows that a war will prevent the troops from leaving Iraq which we all know thats what he wants.

B. Bush can change or influence the outcome of the election by sparking up a war. America always votes to the right in time of war. The Iraq war is stale and really does not interest the American public because we are so tired of it...a fresh war could send Americans to the polls to vote for McCain....you don't Bush will do it?...you better think again.

3. Isreal knows that a Obama presidency will not support a attack on Iran...therefore, they have to move soon. they Know Bush is backing them 100%. Look for Another Gulf of tonkin repeat in the next several months.  Isreal will attack Iran and the U.S will conveniently leave a ship, plane or soldier in a place to be easily attacked...walla...we have a war...OR h**l...the Bush Machine will simply lie as always and fabricate evidence that allows the U.S to iniate a war.

Answer 3

The US will never going to attack Israel before or after Bush, but, it will back Israel if it faces some problems !

Answer 4

It won't happen...but I think we should bomb them back to the stone ages. They are trying to flex their muscles. Mess with the bull and you get the horns.

Answer 5

Oil speculators would have a field day if Iran was attacked. I am guessing $300 a barrel, and $10 gas!

I am sure the armchair chickenhawks would love that!