Question:

What is the likely hood of a TSUNAMI occurring??

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i live about 30 minutes away from the ocean (NYC) just curious. any precentage?

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  1. Other than a heavenly body or large land mass falling into the ocean (or large lake)  making all ajacent coastal regions susceptible, tsunamis generally radiate outward from a sea (or even land) earthquake.  Investigate where the fault zones (and their past activity) are in the Atlantic to understand your risk.  Compared to the Indian and Pacific ocean rifts, I believe your location is pretty worry free, particularly your distance from the coast.  Keep your boca above the agua!!  (Tom, Near Philly)


  2. Worry more about the earthquakes. If there's an earthquake around the ocean there is a chance that a tsunami could form.

    The stronger the earthquake, the stronger possiblities of a tsunami and a powerful one.

    Just relax, tsunamis are rare, they are scary but don't occur that often.

  3. 0.23%  N.B. 90% of statistics are made up ;-)

  4. Depends on where u live just do not be living on a beach or near a beach

  5. Actually the east coast is under a huge threat of tsunamis from a landslide expected to happen in the Canary Islands.  It is estimated the tsunami would be at least 10 meters high on the east coast and maybe even higher if and when this occurs.  The east coast of Brazil may see a wave 40m(130ft) high.  They just aren't sure when it will happen.

    The island is called La Palma and below is a link to a CNN article about it.  The probability of it happening is 100%...if you wait long enough.  But the chance in say the next year is very small.

    From the geometry of where the island is, NYC could be at risk.  In fact almost the entire east coast below 30 feet above sea level, within a couple miles of the coast, and with an east or south exposure with nothing in between would be in danger with this scenario.  Sandy Hook might block the tsunami from going up the Hudson, but it could possible enter the east river or hit Brooklyn directly.

  6. Tsunami is a natural calamity,

    We cannot predict it.

    It occurs only due to 3 main reasons,

    1) Earthquake under the sea/ocean

    2) Volcano under the sea/ocean

    3) Foreign collide with sea/ocean.

  7. Tsunami are extremely rare in the Atlantic Ocean compared to other ocean basins.

    Any tsunami in the Atlantic ocean would be unlikely to have significant effects on NYC itself, though Staten Island and Brighton Beach (which are more exposed) could be affected.

    In the absence of any specific risk analysis a general rule is that for open coastlines anything below 20m (above sea level) and within 3km of the coastline has some level of risk. Tsunami can penetrate up rivers and esturaries but the area of inundation that is not within the area described above is generally limited to those areas adjacent to the river/estuary that are already at risk of flooding from large rainfalls.

    There are plenty of other hazards that affect New York. Check out the Office of Emergency Management website: http://www.nyc.gov/html/oem/html/home/ho...

  8. chances are better here in SC, h**l im 1/2 mile from the ocean!

    theres no faults on the atlantic ocean to be worried about- plate techtonics, but when that island mountain piece off of africa falls down- WATCH out east coast!

  9. it's more likely to be hit by a car than by a tsunami in that region

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