Question:

When will all the cars be using hydrogen or battery?

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What year? between 2010 to 2020

2020 to 2030

2030 to 2040

2040 to 2050

or

never will?

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10 ANSWERS


  1. actually, a lot of cars will not be using electricty any time soon. they do not have the range and there is too much loss of energy for conversion. this was tried 15 years ago. that is why hybrid cars were designed. If you really want to know about hydrogen, go to www.plugpower.com or type in Mitsubishi fuel cell. Also, www.ballard.com. These three companies are at the forefront of fuel cell technolgy for cars and homes. However, if you really want to see this happen, you must vote for more nuclear power plants. We have 113 and have not built another one for almost forty years. When the oil embargo happened in 1976, the french government vowed to never be hostage to foreign oil again for infrastructure. They immediately started to build nuclear plants. France is now 97 % energy dependent for electricity and no longer burns fuel from oil, in their power plants. They have over 100 nuclear plants now. The rest of the world, including China is building them at a phenomenal rate, as we slowly retrograde our resources.

    Nuclear power is the answer to cheap hydrogen and that is the answer to hydrogen powered fuel cell equipped automobiles.


  2. Hydrogen will never by widely used. Batteries will become dominant in the 2030 to 2040 time frame. The following is a more detailed answer to a similar question:

    I expect that in the near future hybrids will become dominant. In particular plug-in hybrids will become very popular because they will archived mileage that is unattainable in other technologies. Plug-in hybrids will get between 100 and 200 miles per gallon even in larger cars and light trucks. For a time there may be a transition away from gasoline to ethanol and bio-diesel if battery technology continues to develop slowly. At some point though I think batteries will become so well developed that hybrids will fade out to be replaced entirely by battery-electric pasenger cars, which will become the dominant technology for at least the next 100 years. In larger vehicles such as trucks and boats liquid fuels may continue to dominate either in hybrid system or a straight internal combustion system. At some point on the order of 20-50 years out that liquid fuel will be entirely renewable generated.

    Hydrogen will never be commercially deployed for several reasons. The most important reason is that it is very inefficient compared to all other energy delivery systems and cannot be made to be competitively efficient. There is no infrastructure and developing one will prove to be prohibitively expensive. Hydrogen is very dangerous to handle and it will be both difficult and expensive to overcome that problem. Hydrogen is a low energy density fuel and the in-vehicle storage problems are very difficult technically. As a result, well before the technology for hydrogen is fully developed, batteries will have become the dominant technology and will not be displaced by hydrogen.

    So this is the way I think it will most likely play out: Hybrids will continue to grow in popularity until about 10 years from now most new cars will be hybrids. During that time biofuels will also continue to develop and will satisfy perhaps as much as 20% of our fuel needs. The first plug-in hybrids will be offered in 2-5 years from now and by 20 years out virtually all cars made will be either plug-in hybrids or fully electric. Fully electric cars will start to be introduced about 5 years from now aimed at the mainstream market. Acceptance will be slow at first because of the high cost of batteries but performance issues will have been overcome. Because of the rapidly growing production volume of hybrid batteries in particular the cost of batteries will start to fall rapidly between 10 and 20 years from now. By 20 years out pure electrics will start to gain market share from hybrids and from that point on the car market will shift towards pure electric cars. By about 50 years from now almost all cars will be electric and hybrids will be used mostly by people how need either extreme range or very high power for towing trailers and the like. The commercial vehicle market will be fully hybrid by 20 years out and will likely remain hybrid due to need for high power and long range. Somewhere in the 20-50 year range shifting fuel use and dropping demand for liquid fuels will allow the growing biofuel industry to fully supply all domestic fuel needs and fossil fuels will be fully phased out for transportation uses.

  3. Imagine that petrol/gasoline was very expensive, say 10 times the price it is now. What kind of car would you buy? A really small one?

    The problem with hydrogen or battery is that the car is to heavy. 100kg of person and 1500kg or more of car. The battery will not last, the fuel cell will be too expensive.

    If you are trying to save the environment or fuel, then you need a light weight car, perhaps 250 or 500kg. In this case the car could travel using less power, gas, or energy per mile. But still go quite fast. But not as fast as any common car now, because it would not be safe in a crash, or be blown about in strong wind gusts.

    So as fuel starts to run out, it will get expensive, we will build efficient cars, they will be at some point in time equally efficient as the price of electricity, and at this point of time we will see many electric cars. To put a date on it probably around 2015.

    At this time really rich people will still afford to drive SUVs and luxury cars, but everyone else will get upset when there are nasty car crashes, and large heavy cars will be banned, or rich people will be to embarrassed to drive them.

  4. Where is the electricity for recharging batteries to come from? Most utilities are operating near capacity at various peak demand times. There are no nuclear plants being built and the ones in existence are being slowly phased out. It is a fantasy that electric cars will be an ultimate solution.

    Unless nuclear power or fusion technology is developed there is no way to overcome our energy consumtion woes.

  5. 50 years

  6. The people decide not everyone wants hydrogen or battery, or they can't afford it. Hopefuly though people will help each other and take action. My guess though would have to be 20-50 years more than 65% of the world's population will have hydrogen or battery cars.

  7. lots of cars will use electricity by 2010

  8. the end of the world is 2012

    And as long as the oil barons are making money with petrol they will not encourage anything else .

    The guy who invented the Hydrogen engine was assasinated almost a century ago ,

    So dont hold your breath

  9. Never

  10. 2010-2020 I HOPE

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