When will oil and gas resources cease to meet rising energy demand,and what will replace oil in transport???

Question

When will oil and gas resources cease to meet rising energy demand,and what will replace oil in transport???

Answer 1

the  bell curve peak between accelerating growth and available production rates/recoverable volumes hit in 2006. It's all downhill from here.

Answer 2

1.  Judging from the skyrocketing prices and nearly-flat production since 2005, that's right about now.

2.  It depends what part of transport you're talking about.  Railroads and cars can be electrified.  Ships can sail (seriously, there's a company selling giant kites to help pull ships along).  The one thing that might be radically reduced is air transport.

Answer 3

Not for many years grasshopper.

Answer 4

if any of us idiots on here knew the answer to that, I think we'd probably be busier spending our mounds of cash than chatting on here.

Answer 5

Domestic production of oil in the U.S. peaked about 1973 according to the DOE.

That's one reason why oil has gotten so expensive.  We import much more of it.

We have to expect a transitionary period during which we have a mix of gas, diesel. hybrids, electric cars. and some biofuels.

  If we had a clean electric grid, electric cars would be the way to go.  That is not so impossible as it may seem.  There is a very reasonable proposal to create a 65% solar electric grid by 2050 and near 100% by 2100.

It would use solar thermal and concentrating photovoltaic power plants in the U.S. southwest desert areas.  

Scientific America Solar Grand Plan

http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?id=a-so...

"Solar thermal power plants such as Ausra's generate electricity by driving steam turbines with sunshine. Ausra's solar concentrators boil water with focused sunlight, and produce electricity at prices directly competitive with gas- and coal-fired electric power."

"Solar is one the most land-efficient sources of clean power we have, using a fraction of the area needed by hydro or wind projects of comparable output. All of America's needs for electric power – the entire US grid, night and day – can be generated with Ausra's current technology using a square parcel of land 92 miles on a side. For comparison, this is less than 1% of America's deserts, less land than currently in use in the U.S. for coal mines"        http://www.ausra.com/

They say 1% of the Sahara desert would power the whole world.