When will the IPCC officially change it's position to 10 to 15 years of cooling?

Question

Does changing a one's position so often put a strain on one's credibility?

Or is truth being buried in a mountain of BS?

It appears, it matters not what the measurable facts seem to indicate. The buck seems to stop at the AGW theory.

When the lie is exposed, ultimately it will hurt environmentalism.

People will abuse the planet like never before.

Answer 1

as soon as all of the IPCC report contributors are guaranteed funding for research on global cooling.

Answer 2

I feel the strain of your question-politics can be so sidelining and inherently dangerous to the commoner. Greed is the controlling factor of today and tomorrow. We accept or deny information, that is filtered through the many shadows of greed, before it reaches us. We continue the adulteration of facts, by entertaining the motives of those ,who present them. Thus we are proven again the insanity of human reasoning.

Answer 3

The IPCC probably won't incorporate the 10-15 year 'global warming pause' prediction because it's probably wrong, as discussed in the link below.

Answer 4

Probably never.  They must maintain the lie that it's warming as this is what the masses want to hear.  Global warming is political, the IPCC is a political group of the UN, and every politician knows the golden rule - vox populi, vox dei.

Now computer models are showing that global warming is going to take a pause till 2015.  I'll bet as we approach 2015, the models will say that global warming is stalled for another 10 years.

We shouldn't guess about the climate.  We should wait until we have a better understanding about how the climate works.

Answer 5

The IPCC focuses on global climate, not the temporary weather fluctuations such as those caused by ocean current oscillations.  That is why complaints that the IPCC can't predict weather are so ignorant and silly.  Climatology is not about weather forecasting!

A link to the article would help tremendously in clearing up misunderstandings:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/main.jh...

"He stressed that the results were just the initial findings from a new computer model of how the oceans behave over decades and it would be wholly misleading to infer that global warming, in the sense of the enhanced greenhouse effect from increased carbon emissions, had gone away.

The IPCC currently does not include in its models actual records of such events as the strength of the Gulf Stream and the El Nino cyclical warming event in the Pacific, which are known to have been behind the warmest year ever recorded in 1998."

Don't let the clear message that "it would be wholly misleading to infer that global warming... had gone away" prevent you from misrepresenting the science.  These types of oscillations happen all the time, and you can clearly see their wiggles on the temperature chart fot he past 100 years:

http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2...

You can also see that their influence is temporary and does nothing to stop the rise.

If we get a temporary break, that's a good time to prepare, technologically and financially, for the steeper rise that will come as any present temporary cooling influence reverses to become a warming one.

Answer 6

Probably never.  That's just a recent idea of a few guys.  The IPCC doesn't work like that.  Here's how they work:

"The drafting of reports by the world’s pre-eminent group of climate scientists is an odd process. For many months scientists contributing to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change tussle over the evidence. Nothing gets published unless it achieves consensus. This means that the panel’s reports are extremely conservative – even timid. It also means that they are as trustworthy as a scientific document can be."

George Monbiot

If you look at their reports, the changes are modest (never going against the truth that this is real, and mostly caused by us), and clearly based on massive amounts of new data, confirmed by independent sources.

In other words, the changes that the IPCC has made are clearly the ordinary progress of science.  To not change as they have is what would be not credible.

Answer 7

Stupid question.  The "global cooling" position is totally fictional and dreamed up by the skeptics on yahoo answers to confuse the real issue.  Notice how there is NEVER a reference to a scientific pubilcation about global cooling.

IPCC is a very credible organization that is the leading authority in the work on climate change.  They have been around for about the last 20year working on this problem and their findings are now widely accepted.

Go to school and try to learn some science moron!

Answer 8

They will not change their position even as the earth continues to cool as it has over the past decade.

They know they will be completely discredited.

Or better yet, they will blame the cooling on La Nina...even though the warming was never attributed to El Nino....only man.

Even though the earth has warmed up some 16 degrees F since the last ice age(before any SUV)...they will stick to their guns

Answer 9

Well, they certainly haven't been waiting on your opinion to change their minds. They will change their position when they observe evidence, which they haven't. Too many "armchair" climatologists on the site!