Who to pick up?(starting picthers)?

Question

10 teams, head2head league.

my team:

C Joe Mauer

1B Prince Fielder

2B Robinson Canó

3B David Wright

SS Édgar Rentería

OF Carlos Quentin

OF Bobby Abreu

OF Jay Bruce

Util Johnny Damon

Util Kevin Youkilis

BN Andre Ethier

BN Howie Kendrick

BN Chone Figgins

DL Eric Byrnes

SP Johan Santana

SP Josh Beckett

SP Edinson Vólquez

SPJoba Chamberlain

SP Jorge Campillo

RP Joakim Soria

RP Takashi Saito

RP Brandon Morrow

RP Jonathan Broxton

RP Max Scherzer

- im gonna drop Max Scherzer bc he got demoted, which of these should i pick up?

FAs:

Justin Verlander (3-9)

Justin Duchscherer (6-4)

Pedro Martínez (1-0)

Aaron Laffey (4-3)

Answer 1

First off, I'll tell you who not to get is Pedro Martinez. He is old and his best days are behind him. He's 36, injury-proned, and is giving up a lot of hits. I stay clear of him.

Based on their last three starts, Aaron Laffey is not a guy you want either. His K:BB ratio is pedestrian and is also getting lit up in Hits per 9 innings and in ERA.

So it comes down to two. Duchscherer and Verlander's numbers are pretty similar in their last three starts with Verlander giving up a lot of fly balls, but has not given up a home run in that span. Verlander's K:BB ratio is at a uniformed 2 while Duchscherer's is similar to Laffey's--which we agreed is pretty pedestrian. However, both Justins are not givin up many hits so as originally mentioned, their numbers are pretty similar.

So we shrink our sample size even more and we see that in Verlander's last two starts: K/9 rate is finally at a respectable +6, his BB/9 is at 2.25, and he's still not giving up many hits (which gives him a .81 WHIP). One problem is that he's giving up a lot of fly ball outs, but since both games were at home, he hasn't given up a homerun in that span.

Duchscherer in his last two starts, also both at home, has a 4.77 K/9 ratio, a 4.09 BB/9, but only giving up 5.45 H/9. He is also 2-0 in that span so he is winning ugly, but a win is a win.

The reason, however, why I shrunk the sample size to 2 game starts was because we need to know if Verlander is finding his 2006-2007 form and the gradually increasing K/9 rate is certainly an encouraging sight. Verlander is the best pitcher among this list and now he finally looks like he's turning the corner to this season. Pick him up before the rest of the owners in your league realize the fact that he's on waivers!

Answer 2

Verlander I think he has too much talent to performing this bad. He will turn it around.

Answer 3

Grab Duchscherer off the free agents. He has been absolutely lights out this year. His ERA is just above 2, and his K/BB ratio is around 2.5/1. I was lucky to get him in my 14 person league this late.

Answer 4

First off, I'll tell you who not to get is Pedro Martinez.  He is old and his best days are behind him.  He's 36, injury-proned, and is giving up a lot of hits.  I stay clear of him.

Based on their last three starts, Aaron Laffey is not a guy you want either.  His K:BB ratio is pedestrian and is also getting lit up in Hits per 9 innings and in ERA.  

So it comes down to two.  Duchscherer and Verlander's numbers are pretty similar in their last three starts with Verlander giving up a lot of fly balls, but has not given up a home run in that span.  Verlander's K:BB ratio is at a uniformed 2 while Duchscherer's is similar to Laffey's--which we agreed is pretty pedestrian.  However, both Justins are not givin up many hits so as originally mentioned, their numbers are pretty similar.  

So we shrink our sample size even more and we see that in Verlander's last two starts: K/9 rate is finally at a respectable +6, his BB/9 is at 2.25, and he's still not giving up many hits (which gives him a .81 WHIP).  One problem is that he's giving up a lot of fly ball outs, but since both games were at home, he hasn't given up a homerun in that span.  

Duchscherer in his last two starts, also both at home, has a 4.77 K/9 ratio, a 4.09 BB/9, but only giving up 5.45 H/9.  He is also 2-0 in that span so he is winning ugly, but a win is a win.

The reason, however, why I shrunk the sample size to 2 game starts was because we need to know if Verlander is finding his 2006-2007 form and the gradually increasing K/9 rate is certainly an encouraging sight.  Verlander is the best pitcher among this list and now he finally looks like he's turning the corner to this season.  Pick him up before the rest of the owners in your league realize the fact that he's on waivers!

Felipe

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