Who was the first man to propose the theory of global warming and then later deny it?

Question

i believe he was a french man but cant remember.please help.need it for my essay.can u also help me with my essay.

iam doing an essay on why global warming is unprecedented and theres no solid evidence to prove its existence.my thesis is: In my opinion, global warming is nothing but an unprecedented man-made theory which can easily be disproved and does not have solid evidence to prove its existence.

how can i start off my body paragraph(im writing only 1) and what should i write or include in it.

plus how should i write my conclusion.please help.

thanks!

Answer 1

Since you are completely clueless and lazy, I suggest you get a different topic all together.

Answer 2

If you mean deny it in a peer-reviewed scientific paper that was not later retracted or proven to have major flaws, I have yet to see one.

Here's the background:on today's scientific consensus:

http://norvig.com/oreskes.html

The consensus was quantified in a Science study by Prof. Naomi Oreskes (Dec. 2004) in which she surveyed 928 scientific journal articles that matched the search [global climate change] at the ISI Web of Science. Of these, according to Oreskes, 75% agreed with the consensus view (either implicitly or explicitly), 25% took no stand one way or the other, and none rejected the consensus.

Benny Peiser attempted to replicate the study, and found 34 articles that "reject or doubt" the consensus view--that is, 3% rather than the 0% that Oreskes found in her sample. Note that Peiser has altered Oreskes' original category from "reject" to "reject or doubt" so it is logically possible that both are correct. Also, there were several other differences between the studies: Peiser included "all documents" in the database rather than just scientific articles, and he included Social Sciences and Arts & Humanities as well as Sciences. Peiser was kind enough to share the 34 articles that he says reject or doubt. A discussion of the 34 argues that probably two to five of them should count, and the two best examples are editorials, not scientific publications (which is probably why they were not included in Oreskes' study).

When faced with a controversy like this, the great thing is that you can do your own research. If you suspect Oreskes or Peiser (or both) might be biased, you can look at the data yourself.

So that's what I did. Of the 34 articles, I would say that #10 and #27 clearly reject the consensus, but they are editorials, not scientific papers (and #27 is from an oil industry trade association). #1 and #6 doubt, but again are not scientific papers. #7, #17, #31 and maybe #22 doubt, and #15 says that both greenhouse gases and solar activity are roughly equal contributers to warming; so I counted it as "doubt." So overall I would say that Oreskes is correct; that Peiser has not shown a peer-reviewed scientific paper that clearly rejects the consensus. I would also say that Peiser is correct in that he found at least 4 papers that place some doubt on some of the premises of the consensus, but he is widely wrong in claiming 34. Update (June 2007): Peiser has backed off his claims, and now says there is actually only one out of the 34 papers that rejects the consensus, and that one is an editorial, not a scientific paper (and therefore was not included in the Oreskes study).

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It's amazing that people waste so much time denying something so thoroughly documented.

Answer 3

The first person to propose this was a Swedish physicist around 1900.  He's in no position to deny (good word) it today.  Here's the history for you:

http://www.aip.org/history/climate/summa...

Here's a good conclusion:  "After trying to disprove it, I failed.  Global warming is proven scientific fact.  EVERY major scientific organization has issued an official statement that this is real, and mostly caused by us.  The National Academy of Sciences, the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the American Institute of Physics, the American Chemical Society, the American Geophysical Union, the American Meteorological Association, etc."

Answer 4

Every purposed theory was denied/scoffed at by the scientific community up to (Keeling's) later studies. He did a less then a 2 year study, but established decal CO2 levels with the help of government agencies.

Answer 5

Joseph Fourier was the first to speculate about a warming effect of the atmosphere but I never heard of him denying it afterwards

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_Four...

Indeed, his work has been then continued by Svante Arrhenius which investigated the theory quantitatively and already concluded to a warming of 5°C if CO2 concentrations were to be double their value at the time.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Svante_Arrh...

The black body theory through which what the earth temperature without greenhouse gases would be was then discovered by Stefan Boltzmann

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stefan-Bolt...

Answer 6

There's no need to include, "In my opinion" in the thesis. The fact that global warming is unprecedented is why so many people are blaming humans.