McCain has been behind in the polls for months period.
Close or not McCain is behind.
Even if you don’t believe in polls, take a look at the electoral college.
Obama is leading there too!
Rammussam a conservative polling site, one of the only sites right in 2004 election has Obama winning the electoral college.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
"The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator currently shows Obama leading in states with 193 Electoral College votes while McCain leads in states with 183 votes. When leaners are included, it’s Obama 264, McCain 247"
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