Question:

Why would you expect the inflation rate to accelerate if the actual unemployment rate declined to a level

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lower than the "full employment" unemployment (NAIRU at natural RGDP)?

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3 ANSWERS


  1. Inflation and employment are not linked -- other than by choice of the Federal Reserve. If the supply of money didn't grow rapidly, you would not have inflation irrespective of how little unemployment there were.


  2. 1) Inflation may be the case (side effect) for gov policy to achieve lower unemployment rate using expansionary monetary policy (though such effect is only temporary - in short-run). It also involves rational expectations theory and money-illusion issue.

    2) Low supply of free labor will lead to increase in wages - thus higher disposable income which consequently leads to increase in price levels.

    It all summed in Philips curve approach:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philips_cur...

  3. Wages would inevitably go up because of shortages of qualified workers and those cost would be past on to the products and services they provide.  

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