Will this 33-1 shot win?

Question

Have had a tip for alsace Lorrainne in the 5-00 Windsor. On offer at 33-1 with skybet. Think must be excellent each way value. Are you joining me or do you fancy something else?

Answer 1

I can tell you for definite  that it won't win,as Alsace Lorraine   is a non-runner.

Are you looking at the right horse? From form guide and betting forecast it would have been at least third favoutite if not favourite.

I kmow you said it was an offer but that seemed a little too good to be true.

Be wary of bookies trying to lead you onto bets with offers or promotions.It wouldn't suprise me if they'd promoted a price on a horse they knew wouldn't run.

Answer 2

There is more chance of it being shot.

Answer 3

Odds only tell you the pay out.

Myriad other factors will suggest the prospect of performance.

Answer 4

I think it's a non runner loanshark, have you got any more tips?

Trying to decide whether to take 5/4 for Marchand D'or in 3.15 at Deauville, its a skinny old price but a winners a winner.  

Can't understand why US Ranger is 5-1 when they are virtually on equal terms again for a head beating at Newmarket in the July Cup.  

Any thoughts anyone?