Worst case scenario, global warming, polar ice melting; how high will the pacific ocean rise in 10 years?

Question

My father lives in Pacific Grove, next to Asilomar, right on the beach. He is worried that the Pacific will rise enough in the next 10 years to flood him out. His house is approximately 50 ft above sea level. Anybody have a worst case scenario as to how much the Pacific will rise in the next 10 years?

Answer 1

FOLLOW THE MONEY TRAIL!!!

FEAR FEAR FEAR

fear and money grease the hinges to the gates to heaven.

Fear is being funded by the governments of the world.

Scientists spreading fear are getting RICH!!!

Al Gore owns a carbon credit company while his own house uses more energy than a neighborhood.

He justifies it by buying carbon credits from himself.

Environmentalism is a religion and fear is the glue that binds all religions together.

Sacred Mother EARTH

Lets restore Human sacrifice to stop global warming!!!

Humans are a cancer on the earth and earth needs to be rid of this cancer

Answer 2

There would be no noticable increase or decrease in water levels.

Answer 3

Dont worry he is safe no one can say what will happen in the next min but how we can say for the next 10years.  See during the 1970s the same environmetal scientist speak about global cooling and now it was global warming check that the nature takes time to adjust itself to the warming of the people so that the global cooling canbe started.

Answer 4

Worst case scenario would be the collapse of the EAIS, sea levels would rise some 300 feet. That doesn't seem very likely, of course the warming and melting we are seeing in the past few years is running ahead of the worst case models, but still, that would be a stretch.

In the next ten years, assuming Greenland and the WAIS sheet continued to melt at ever increasing rates, sea level still wouldn't rise more than 20 feet or so, so no worries.

And if sea levels do rise twenty feet in the next decade, flooded real estate will be the least of your dad's concerns.

Answer 5

don't worry 50 ft should keep him above water for at least the next 100 years with a worst case scenario.

from the current IPCC report. as you can see your dad should be fine.

* Scenario B1

o Best estimate temperature rise of 1.8 °C with a likely range of 1.1 to 2.9 °C (3.2 °F with a likely range of 2.0 to 5.2 °F)

o Sea level rise likely range [18 to 38 cm] (7 to 15 inches)

* Scenario A1T

o Best estimate temperature rise of 2.4 °C with a likely range of 1.4 to 3.8 °C (4.3 °F with a likely range of 2.5 to 6.8 °F)

o Sea level rise likely range [20 to 45 cm] (8 to 18 inches)

* Scenario B2

o Best estimate temperature rise of 2.4 °C with a likely range of 1.4 to 3.8 °C (4.3 °F with a likely range of 2.5 to 6.8 °F)

o Sea level rise likely range [20 to 43 cm] (8 to 17 inches)

* Scenario A1B

o Best estimate temperature rise of 2.8 °C with a likely range of 1.7 to 4.4 °C (5.0 °F with a likely range of 3.1 to 7.9 °F)

o Sea level rise likely range [21 to 48 cm] (8 to 19 inches)

* Scenario A2

o Best estimate temperature rise of 3.4 °C with a likely range of 2.0 to 5.4 °C (6.1 °F with a likely range of 3.6 to 9.7 °F)

o Sea level rise likely range [23 to 51 cm] (9 to 20 inches)

* Scenario A1FI

o Best estimate temperature rise of 4.0 °C with a likely range of 2.4 to 6.4 °C (7.2 °F with a likely range of 4.3 to 11.5 °F)

o Sea level rise likely range [26 to 59 cm] (10 to 23 inches)

Answer 6

I think the absolute worst case scenario I have read was 40 meters in the next hundred years so divide that by the and you can figure it will rise no more than 4 meters which is 12 ft. however that was a plan that had the melting happen at an increasing rate over a hundred years so maybe ten feet worst case, ultra alarmist prediction. In reality it will probably be only an inch or two at most. it has risen 20cm(7in) over the last hundred years, so even if that is tripled it would only be 2 inches for your ten year period. promise dad he will be OK, and stop watching discovery channel.

Answer 7

No worry at all.  10 years shouldn't see a sea level rise more than 30 mm.

Answer 8

3 inches

Answer 9

The worst case would be about a foot in a century.  There is no way it will rise an inch in the next ten years.  You won't see any perceptible rise or fall.  The tides here in California swing 12 feet up and down.  An inch or two won't get noticed.

Answer 10

as my father used to say...if worse comes to worse, you're screwed!  but don't sweat it... al gore is the same guy who was telling us we were all going to die in the coming ice age back in the seventies due to global COOLING.  the man is an absolute crackpot...although a dangerous one with a globalist agenda.

Answer 11

Listen to Gengi. He has posted the actual IPCC data, not some blog of youtube junk like most people use to back up their argument. And that IPCC data says worst case is 2 feet. That is in 100 years, not 10 years by the way. So less than 3 inches in 10 years is your answer. Worst case.

Answer 12

Ooooh lucky, Asilomar is really nice.

No worries, in 10 years we're talking about a sea level rise on the order of inches.  Right now sea levels are only rising at about 3 mm per year, so it will be just over an inch in a decade.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_r...

Eventually if global warming continues and the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets melt, sea levels could rise 50+ feet, but this will happen gradually and won't reach the 50 foot level probably for centuries.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080204/ts_n...